Kalshi · Football · American football
stiff.bowl is a MLS pro on Kalshi: 162 picks, 70.4% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 27 won, 33 lost, 45.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 10 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |
| KNVB Cup | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| DFB Pokal | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| Serie A | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| Premier League | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Bundesliga | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
stiff.bowl mainly predicts MLS: 10 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.4% hit rate over 162 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 13.0%. In MLS, 5 of 10 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-11-01 04:55 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | AC Milan 3:1 Inter Milan (Inter) Serie A | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 0:1 San Diego FC MLS | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 1:1 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 0:1 San Diego FC MLS | Both teams score in the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 0:1 San Diego FC MLS | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Utah St. 31:14 Colorado State Rams NCAAF | Over 59.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | SC Heerenveen 1:0 N.E.C. (Nijmegen) Eredivisie | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 0:1 San Diego FC MLS | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | PSV Eindhoven (Eindhoven) 7:0 Willem II Eredivisie | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Bundesliga | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Charlotte FC 4:0 Orlando MLS | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 0:1 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | Nico O'Reilly: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 0:1 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Bremen 2:0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Hoffenheim) Bundesliga | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 0:1 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 0:1 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Bremen 2:0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Hoffenheim) Bundesliga | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Leverkusen) 2:4 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Bremen 2:0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Hoffenheim) Bundesliga | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Golden State Warriors 112:95 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | Yaxel Lendeborg: 1+ threes | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Golden State Warriors 112:95 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | Yaxel Lendeborg: 20+ points | Lost |
| 2026-10-30 | UCF Knights 9:41 Baylor Bears NCAAF | Baylor wins | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Villarreal CF 0:1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) La Liga | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-30 | SV Elversberg (Elversberg) 4:1 1. FSV Mainz 05 (Mainz) Bundesliga | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Bodoe/Glimt 3:2 Viking FK Eliteserien | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-30 | Volendam 1:2 De Graafschap Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Bodoe/Glimt 3:2 Viking FK Eliteserien | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Portland Trail Blazers 103:124 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Ty Jerome: 15+ points | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | North Texas Mean Green 48:41 Florida Atlantic Owls NCAAF | Team Over 27.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | North Texas Mean Green 48:41 Florida Atlantic Owls NCAAF | Over 76.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Rkav Volendam 3:0 Rohda Raalte KNVB Cup | Reg Time: Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) 2:2 Atalanta BC (Atalanta) Serie A | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) 2:2 Atalanta BC (Atalanta) Serie A | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) 2:2 Atalanta BC (Atalanta) Serie A | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Rkav Volendam 3:0 Rohda Raalte KNVB Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Frosinone Calcio 5:1 US Lecce Serie A | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | UB Lebrijana 2:3 Getafe CF Copa del Rey | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | UB Lebrijana 2:3 Getafe CF Copa del Rey | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | UB Lebrijana 2:3 Getafe CF Copa del Rey | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 4:1 San Diego FC MLS | Both teams score in the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 4:1 San Diego FC MLS | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 4:1 San Diego FC MLS | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 4:1 San Diego FC MLS | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 FC Cincinnati MLS | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Kiel 1:1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Hoffenheim) DFB Pokal | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 6:1 Magdeburg DFB Pokal | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | AC Milan 2:4 Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) Serie A | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Noordwijkerhout 4:0 EVV (EVV Echt) KNVB Cup | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Noordwijkerhout 4:0 EVV (EVV Echt) KNVB Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | SC Paderborn 07 (Paderborn) 0:1 VfB Stuttgart DFB Pokal | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Jeddeloh II 0:2 Hertha BSC (Hertha) DFB Pokal | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | SV Elversberg (Elversberg) 0:2 Darmstadt DFB Pokal | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Excelsior Rotterdam (Excelsior) 1:1 Den Haag KNVB Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Rot-Weiss Essen 1:2 Leipzig DFB Pokal | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | SC Telstar (Telstar 1963) 0:2 Almere KNVB Cup | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | SC Telstar (Telstar 1963) 0:2 Almere KNVB Cup | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | SC Telstar (Telstar 1963) 0:2 Almere KNVB Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Rot-Weiss Essen 1:2 Leipzig DFB Pokal | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Rot-Weiss Essen 1:2 Leipzig DFB Pokal | Both teams score in the 1st Half | Lost |