Kalshi · American football · Football
surferfred is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 61 picks, 60.7% win rate, $868 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 36 won, 24 lost, 60.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 50 | 50 | 30 | 60.0% |
| NFL | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| College Football | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| UEFA Nations League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| MLB | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
surferfred mainly predicts World Cup: 50 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.7% hit rate over 61 orders, P&L $868, ROI 16.7%. In World Cup, 30 of 50 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-03 04:40 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–0 Turkiye UEFA Nations League | Belgium wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27–35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31–34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33–31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29–23 Northwestern Wildcats College Football | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Ole Miss Rebels 32–24 LSU Tigers College Football | LSU to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Houston Texans 20–22 Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) NFL | Las Vegas vs Houston Pro Football game: HOU Texans wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Houston Texans 20–22 Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) NFL | Las Vegas vs Houston Pro Football game: LV Raiders wins | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | New York Yankees 1–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0–2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2–1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0–3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3–0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | France vs Iraq Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0–4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Tunisia vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0–0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3–0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Haiti Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 6–0 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Qatar Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1–3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1–0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4–2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1–4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Iraq vs Norway Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3–1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2–2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1–1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Lost |