Kalshi · Basketball · Baseball
thedon89 is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 44 picks, 63.6% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 30 won, 30 lost, 50.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 16 | 16 | 8 | 50.0% |
| NFL | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| MLB | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| NBA | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Premier League | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
thedon89 mainly predicts NCAAF: 16 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.6% hit rate over 44 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 15.2%. In NCAAF, 8 of 16 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-28 05:40 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Fleetwood Town F.C. (Fleetwood) 1:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) EFL Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Torino FC 1:3 Como 1907 Serie A | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 2:0 Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) Ligue 1 | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Sacramento Kings 112:123 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Sacramento wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Oklahoma City Thunder 108:101 Los Angeles Clippers NBA | Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | Over 54.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Illinois Fighting Illini 21:10 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | Oregon wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Alabama Crimson Tide 31:20 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | ALA -13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Stanford Cardinal 31:28 NC St. NCAAF | STAN -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Stanford Cardinal 31:28 NC St. NCAAF | Over 54.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | UConn Huskies 35:16 Massachusetts Minutemen NCAAF | Over 48.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls NBA | Tyler Herro: 25+ points | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets NBA | OKC +8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Duke Blue Devils 20:24 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | Duke wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Tennessee 26:10 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | Alabama wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 17:20 Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Turkiye 0:1 France Nations League | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | DEN Broncos 20:13 JAC Jaguars NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Los Angeles Angels 2:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Kansas Jayhawks 21:38 Missouri Tigers NCAAF | Over 51.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Millwall F.C. (Millwall FC) 0:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) EFL Cup | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | MISS +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41:13 Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF | Under 48.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:1 Sevilla FC La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Oregon Ducks 34:27 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | ORE -24.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | San Diego Padres 3:2 New York Yankees MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Buffalo 21:17 University at Albany NCAAF | University at Albany wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 13:14 Colorado Buffaloes NCAAF | Colorado wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Toulouse FC 0:1 Lille OSC (Lille) Ligue 1 | Lille wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Cleveland Guardians 3:6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Palermo F.C. (Palermo FC) 5:2 Mantova 1911 Coppa Italia | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 13:14 Colorado Buffaloes NCAAF | GT -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | America 2:2 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Leagues Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Pumas UNAM 1:1 Club Necaxa Liga MX | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Chicago Sky 90:113 Indiana Fever WNBA | IND +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Torino FC 1:2 AC Milan Serie A | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Atlético Madrid (Atletico) 2:2 Villarreal CF La Liga | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 2:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Newcastle vs Liverpool Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Eintracht Braunschweig (Braunschweig) 2:4 1. FC Union Berlin (Union Berlin) DFB Pokal | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Eintracht Braunschweig (Braunschweig) 2:4 1. FC Union Berlin (Union Berlin) DFB Pokal | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Detroit Lions 17:13 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington vs Detroit Pro Football game: DET Lions wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Detroit Lions 17:13 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington vs Detroit Pro Football game: WAS Commanders wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 2:0 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Premier League | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) 0:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Edmonton Elks 22:19 Winnipeg Blue Bombers CFL | Edmonton Elks to win | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:41 San Francisco 49ers NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles Pro Football game: LA Chargers wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Mjällby AIF (Mjallby) 0:1 FC Red Bull Salzburg (Salzburg) Europa League | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (Heidenheim) 2:4 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Club Friendlies | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | CF Pachuca 2:3 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Golden State Valkyries 78:70 Dallas Wings WNBA | GS +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Cardiff City F.C. (Cardiff) 1:1 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) EFL Championship | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Houston Astros 10:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | New York J 16:24 Tampa Bay NFL | Tampa Bay to win | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. (Heart of Midlothian FC) 1:1 S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) Europa League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 1:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 3:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 1:1 Pumas UNAM Leagues Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Seattle Storm 97:88 Chicago Sky WNBA | Over 171.5 | Won |