Kalshi · Basketball
bd1984 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 14 picks, 57.1% win rate, $844 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 26 won, 34 lost, 43.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 19 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% |
| FIFA World Cup | 17 | 17 | 9 | 52.9% |
| WNBA | 9 | 9 | 7 | 77.8% |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Argentine Nacional B | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| USL Championship | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
bd1984 mainly predicts MLB: 19 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 57.1% hit rate over 14 orders, P&L $844, ROI 16.1%. In MLB, 7 of 19 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-30 09:52 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWLLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Vitoria 0:4 Palmeiras Brasileiro Serie A | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 0:1 FC Tulsa USL Championship | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Louisville City FC 2:1 Birmingham Legion FC USL Championship | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Watford F.C. (Watford FC) 0:1 ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) Club Friendlies | FIO -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Pittsburgh Pirates 3:2 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | PIT -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Tapatio 0:0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo Liga de Expansion MX | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Comerciantes U. 2:2 Club Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 | COM -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Midland Parana Argentine Nacional B | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Los Andes 0:0 Madryn Argentine Nacional B | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Club Agropecuario Argentino (Agropecuario) San Juan Argentine Nacional B | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Sevilla FC 2:1 Ceuta Club Friendlies | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Club Agropecuario Argentino (Agropecuario) San Juan Argentine Nacional B | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Aalesund 1:1 Viking FK Eliteserien | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Frosinone Calcio 1:0 Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Bursa 0:0 FC Shakhtar Donetsk (Shakhtar) Club Friendlies | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Bursa 0:0 FC Shakhtar Donetsk (Shakhtar) Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Phoenix Mercury 89:92 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 180.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Chicago WS 0:5 Boston MLB | Boston vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 12:4 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Washington Mystics 49:62 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | GS -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Washington 12:11 Houston MLB | Houston vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England: 7+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Atlanta 9:10 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | New York Yankees 1:6 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Seattle Storm 72:77 Portland Fire WNBA | Under 158.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Houston 2:0 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | FRA +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Washington Mystics 81:76 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 167.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Colorado 7:10 Miami MLB | Miami vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Las Vegas Aces 99:84 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Las Vegas winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | San Diego 7:6 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | POR -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | San Diego 1:0 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Indiana Fever 86:77 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | 1H Under 91.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Connecticut Sun 92:63 Chicago Sky WNBA | CHI +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Detroit 5:3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Los Angeles Sparks 98:97 New York Liberty WNBA | 1H Under 90.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Seattle 3:1 Boston MLB | Boston vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Detroit 5:4 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Las Vegas Aces 92:73 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | LV -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Houston 2:1 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | New York Yankees 1:4 Cincinnati MLB | Cincinnati vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | ESP -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Atlanta 4:9 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | ESP -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Athletics 0:7 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8:16 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | GER -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Detroit 4:1 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Detroit Winner | Won |