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Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever W result (89:92) on 10 Jul 2026 (WNBA): 293 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 60% backing Indiana Fever W to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Phoenix Mercury 89:92 Indiana Fever W (2026-07-10). Before the result, 60% of 212 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Indiana Fever W to win — that call was right.
293 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Phoenix Mercury 84 (40%) · Indiana Fever W 128 (60%).
Phoenix Mercury, last 5: L W W W L. Indiana Fever W, last 5: L W W L W. Head-to-head, last 3 meetings (Phoenix Mercury wins – draws – Indiana Fever W wins): 2-0-1; latest 2026-06-25: Indiana Fever 109:111 Phoenix Mercury.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-07-10 12:04 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
293 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Phoenix Mercury to win 84 (40%) · Indiana Fever W to win 128 (60%).
| 2026-07-08 | vs Chicago Sky | 66:77 | L |
| 2026-07-03 | vs Seattle Storm | 90:67 | W |
| 2026-06-28 | vs Toronto Tempo | 89:80 | W |
| 2026-06-25 | vs Indiana Fever | 111:109 | W |
| 2026-06-23 | vs Indiana Fever | 77:86 | L |
| 2026-07-09 | vs Los Angeles Sparks | 92:106 | L |
| 2026-07-06 | vs Las Vegas Aces | 84:68 | W |
| 2026-06-28 | vs Los Angeles Sparks | 111:87 | W |
| 2026-06-25 | vs Phoenix Mercury | 109:111 | L |
| 2026-06-23 | vs Phoenix Mercury | 86:77 | W |
| 2026-06-25 | Indiana Fever | 109:111 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2026-06-23 | Indiana Fever | 86:77 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2025-09-03 | Phoenix Mercury | 85:79 | Indiana Fever |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | baseinv3 Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Stupendous-Spring-Cartilage Polymarket | Indiana Fever to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | curie Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | pleasegivememoney888 Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | User7429 Polymarket | Indiana Fever to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | User7429 Polymarket | Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 171.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | dummyricher Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | 7887 Polymarket | Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 171.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Pleased-Hurry Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | ezq-gk-7 Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | lomatic Polymarket | Indiana Fever to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | 15perces Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | lomatic Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | curie Polymarket | Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 171.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | manxia Polymarket | Indiana Fever to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Numb-Ramie Polymarket | Indiana Fever to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | imake1mil Polymarket | Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 171.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | baseinv3 Polymarket | Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 171.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | imake1mil Polymarket | Indiana Fever to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | ezq-gk-7 Polymarket | Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 174.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | lomatic Polymarket | Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 172.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 172.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | 15perces Polymarket | Indiana Fever to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | ezq-gk-7 Polymarket | Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 171.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | ezq-gk-7 Polymarket | Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 172.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Giss2 Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | dutch.bass Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | yeco.cash Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | worrying.dinosaur Kalshi | IND -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Telio Kalshi | IND -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | reluctant.guppy5061 Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | fresh.quoteRemo Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | TheSportsGeeek Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | FromTheFutureBets Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | manonthechicagomoon Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | unluckorlucky Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | ligesavers Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | warmth.praise Kalshi | 4th Quarter Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | jotag17 Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | fur.bank Kalshi | 4th Quarter Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | white.wolf. Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | fritocheeto Kalshi | IND -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | dineshpaudel Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | rahul123 Kalshi | Over 180.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Saintpicks Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | pashch Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | cphil726 Kalshi | IND -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | erimoral10 Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | dutch.tear Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | dead.grader Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | shenchu Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | cold.swallow Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | warmth.praise Kalshi | Under 183.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | tag.world Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | dead.grader Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | PureVictoryPick Kalshi | Under 180.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | papialto Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | speech.coach Kalshi | Under 180.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | scubz Kalshi | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |