Kalshi · Football
foolish.ostrich1538 is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 56 picks, 62.5% win rate, $220 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 27 won, 33 lost, 45.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 20 | 20 | 10 | 50.0% |
| MLB | 11 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% |
| NFL | 9 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| Premier League | 8 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Nations League | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
foolish.ostrich1538 mainly predicts NCAAF: 20 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.5% hit rate over 56 orders, P&L $220, ROI 8.2%. In NCAAF, 10 of 20 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-18 11:31 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | Oregon wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | BYU Cougars 28:24 Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAF | Notre Dame wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Valencia 0:0 Bilbao La Liga | Bilbao wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | Indiana wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 4:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Newcastle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:3 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 2:2 Bremen Bundesliga | Dortmund wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago White Sox 3:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Intl Friendlies | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Cleveland Guardians 3:4 Chicago White Sox MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Arizona State Sun Devils 19:55 Baylor Bears NCAAF | Arizona St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:17 BYU Cougars NCAAF | BYU wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | CLE -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | San Diego Padres 4:1 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Marshall Thundering Herd 36:35 Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs NCAAF | Marshall wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Michigan Wolverines 19:20 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | Over 39.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Ohio St. 42:19 Illinois Fighting Illini NCAAF | Illinois wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Ohio St. 42:19 Illinois Fighting Illini NCAAF | Over 52.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | IND +21.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Temple Owls 17:21 Army Black Knights NCAAF | ARMY -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | California wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston Red Sox 4:3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17:20 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Manchester United wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | MISS +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Auburn Tigers 39:44 Florida Gators NCAAF | Florida wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Illinois Fighting Illini 48:10 Southern Illinois Salukis NCAAF | ILL +30.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | VfB Stuttgart 0:1 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Bundesliga | Dortmund wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5:4 Minnesota MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | New York Mets 0:3 Philadelphia MLB | New York M wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Atletico 4:0 Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) La Liga | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:4 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 4:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | LEE +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Angeles C 14:26 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | LAR -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 3:2 Villarreal CF Champions League | Dortmund wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:1 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | California Golden Bears 24:45 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | UCLA wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Miami Marlins 1:6 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights 21:37 Massachusetts Minutemen NCAAF | UMass wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Illinois Fighting Illini 42:23 UAB Blazers NCAAF | ILL -23.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Colorado Rockies 6:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Aston Villa vs Arsenal Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Chicago Cubs 5:7 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 0:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Tottenham vs Newcastle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Athletics 3:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | A's wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 1:4 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Crystal Palace vs Manchester City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Bilbao La Liga | Barcelona vs Bilbao Winner | Won |