Kalshi · Football · Baseball
happy.alligator3784 is a MLS pro on Kalshi: 107 picks, 74.8% win rate, $20K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 27 won, 33 lost, 45.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Major League Soccer | 14 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% |
| UEFA Nations League | 10 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |
| La Liga | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| Saudi Professional League | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| UEFA Champions League | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Fifa Friendly | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
happy.alligator3784 mainly predicts MLS: 14 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 74.8% hit rate over 107 orders, P&L $20K, ROI 11.7%. In MLS, 5 of 14 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-05 04:15 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 0–1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) Fifa Friendly | Egypt wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Real Sociedad B 2–3 Granada CF LaLiga 2 | Real Sociedad B wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | West Ham W 0–3 Chelsea W England Women's Super League | Chelsea wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) UEFA Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3–0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Fifa Friendly | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) UEFA Nations League | Switzerland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 2–0 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Fifa Friendly | Peru wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 0–7 England men's national association football team (England) UEFA Nations League | England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) 0–2 Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) CONCACAF Nations League | Jamaica wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Suriname 0–0 Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) CONCACAF Nations League | Guatemala wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1–1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) UEFA Nations League | France wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2–4 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) UEFA Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Ireland 2–2 Austria men's national football team (Austria) UEFA Nations League | Ireland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2–1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) UEFA Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 1–2 Rwanda men's national basketball team (Rwanda) Africa Cup of Nations | Cape Verde wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | South-Sudan 0–5 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) Africa Cup of Nations | Egypt wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) 6–0 El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) CONCACAF Nations League | Guatemala wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Necaxa 2–4 America Liga MX | America wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 0–2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) 1–2 Greece men's national football team (Greece) UEFA Nations League | Serbia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Netherlands 1–1 Germany UEFA Nations League | Netherlands wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) UEFA Nations League | Norway wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Levante UD 2–4 FC Barcelona La Liga | BAR -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Al-Khaleej 1–1 Al Nassr Club Saudi Professional League | Al Nassr wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | RC Strasbourg Alsace 1–1 AS Monaco FC Ligue 1 | Monaco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Minnesota 1–2 FC Dallas Major League Soccer | MIN -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Atlanta 2–3 Orlando Major League Soccer | ATL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Houston 2–1 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) Major League Soccer | HOU -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Chicago Fire FC 1–1 Inter Miami CF Major League Soccer | CHI -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | FC Barcelona 5–1 Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) UEFA Champions League | BAR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | FC Porto 0–2 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) UEFA Champions League | Porto wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 3–2 Villarreal CF UEFA Champions League | Dortmund wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Real Madrid 2–1 Inter Milan (Inter) UEFA Champions League | Inter wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) 2–3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) UEFA Champions League | Aston Villa wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | N.E.C. (Nijmegen) 2–2 Excelsior Rotterdam (Excelsior) Eredivisie | Excelsior wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Al-Hazm 1–0 Al-Taawon FC (Al-Taawoun) Saudi Professional League | Al-Hazm wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Zamalek SC (Zamalek) 2–0 Abo Qair Semads Egyptian Premier League | Abo Qair Semads wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Al-Ettifaq FC (Al-Ittifaq) Al-Faisaly FC (Al-Faisaly) Saudi Professional League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | N.E.C. (Nijmegen) 2–2 Excelsior Rotterdam (Excelsior) Eredivisie | Nijmegen wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Al-Hazm 1–0 Al-Taawon FC (Al-Taawoun) Saudi Professional League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Elche CF 2–3 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Sociedad wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Getafe CF 1–1 RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) La Liga | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Getafe CF 1–1 RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) La Liga | Celta Vigo wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Al Hilal SFC (Al Hilal) AL Suqoor Saudi Professional League | AL Suqoor wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Al-Khaleej 0–0 Al-Riyadh SC (Al-Riyadh) Saudi Professional League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1–1 Sevilla FC La Liga | Sevilla wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1–1 Sevilla FC La Liga | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Angers SCO (Angers) 1–2 Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) Ligue 1 | Stade Rennais wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) 5–2 Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) La Liga | Osasuna wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 0–0 Levante UD La Liga | Malaga wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 1–3 St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) Major League Soccer | Saint Louis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Portland Fire (Portland) 5–4 Minnesota Major League Soccer | Portland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Charlotte FC 0–0 Houston Major League Soccer | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | FC Dallas 4–3 Kansas City Major League Soccer | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Austin FC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) Major League Soccer | Austin wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Toronto FC 4–4 Chicago Fire FC Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Inter Miami CF 2–2 Atlanta Major League Soccer | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Charlotte FC 0–0 Houston Major League Soccer | Charlotte wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Orlando 1–0 San Diego FC Major League Soccer | Orlando wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Philadelphia 2–0 Montreal Major League Soccer | Philadelphia wins | Won |