Kalshi · Football · Basketball · Baseball
lexical.aardvark7039 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 28 picks, 84.8% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 44 won, 16 lost, 73.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 41 | 41 | 27 | 65.9% |
| WNBA | 7 | 7 | 6 | 85.7% |
| NBA Summer League | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| MLB | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
lexical.aardvark7039 mainly predicts World Cup: 41 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 84.8% hit rate over 28 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 13.9%. In World Cup, 27 of 41 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-05 11:41 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32–26 DET Lions NFL | Carolina wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) 1–4 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) CONCACAF Nations League | Haiti wins | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Seattle Storm 97–88 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Seattle women's Pro Basketball game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Seattle Mariners 8–0 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Dallas Wings 98–99 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Dallas winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Toronto Tempo 83–109 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Dallas Wings 98–99 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Dallas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Phoenix Mercury 72–63 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Seattle Mariners 6–3 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) 81–86 San Antonio NBA Summer League | San Antonio to win | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75–88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Charlotte 91–110 Milwaukee NBA Summer League | Milwaukee to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Detroit 88–100 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Phoenix to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Cleveland 82–77 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NBA Summer League | New Orleans to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | NL 0–4 AL MLB | AL vs NL Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75–109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Las Vegas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Incheon Utd 0–1 FC Anyang K League 1 | Incheon Utd vs FC Anyang Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 1–12 Saitama Seibu Lions NPB | Saitama Seibu Lions vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Wanderers 2–0 Progreso Primera División (Uruguay) | Wanderers vs Progreso Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1–1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4–2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3–0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Haiti Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1–1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs South Africa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1–1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs South Africa Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1–3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1–0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |