Kalshi · Football · Basketball · Baseball · American football
manonthechicagomoon is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 118 picks, 94.1% win rate, $17K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 48 won, 12 lost, 80.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 38 | 38 | 29 | 76.3% |
| WNBA | 12 | 12 | 10 | 83.3% |
| MLB | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| College Football | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
manonthechicagomoon mainly predicts World Cup: 38 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 94.1% hit rate over 118 orders, P&L $17K, ROI 11.8%. In World Cup, 29 of 38 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-06 03:37 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Houston 33–20 Oregon State Beavers College Football | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Michigan State Spartans 30–20 Toledo Rockets College Football | Michigan St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | New York Mets 10–6 San Francisco MLB | New York M wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Illinois Fighting Illini 42–23 UAB Blazers College Football | Illinois wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights 21–37 Massachusetts Minutemen College Football | UMass wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Pittsburgh Pirates 5–2 San Francisco Giants MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Minnesota Twins 6–11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Chicago Cubs 5–9 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4–5 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Cleveland Guardians 0–11 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto wins | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Indiana Fever 84–86 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Indiana women's Pro Basketball game: Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Indiana Fever 84–86 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Indiana women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Chicago Sky 96–82 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Chicago winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75–88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Atlanta Dream 101–92 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Atlanta winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75–109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Las Vegas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Dallas Wings 96–91 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Dallas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Toronto Tempo 93–91 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Toronto winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Toronto Tempo 93–91 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Phoenix Mercury 89–92 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | France 3–0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Golden State Valkyries 76–67 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Golden State winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Chicago Sky 99–107 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Chicago winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3–1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Congo DR vs Uzbekistan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2–1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2–1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1–1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1–1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) 5–0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs Australia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs Australia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3–2 USA FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs Australia Winner | Won |