Kalshi · Basketball · Baseball
notcarlos is a NBA Summer League pro on Kalshi: 68 picks, 63.2% win rate, $782 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 41 won, 19 lost, 68.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA Summer League | 28 | 28 | 18 | 64.3% |
| MLB | 17 | 17 | 13 | 76.5% |
| WNBA | 15 | 15 | 10 | 66.7% |
notcarlos mainly predicts NBA Summer League: 28 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.2% hit rate over 68 orders, P&L $782, ROI 12.6%. In NBA Summer League, 18 of 28 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-16 02:50 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Toronto Blue Jays 4:1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Toronto First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Detroit Tigers 3:4 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Detroit First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:1 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | San Diego Padres 11:2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Diego First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | St. Louis Cardinals 7:1 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs St. Louis First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Sparks 87:94 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Over 178.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Los Angeles Sparks 78:84 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Over 162.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12:11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Colorado Rockies 9:13 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:9 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 13.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:9 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Toronto Tempo 72:104 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Over 173.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 2:1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | St. Louis Cardinals 2:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs St. Louis First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | San Francisco Giants 16:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Francisco First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | San Francisco Giants 7:6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Portland Fire 97:101 Dallas Wings WNBA | Under 202.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Portland Fire 97:101 Dallas Wings WNBA | Over 196.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 128:120 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Under 228.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 128:120 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Under 219.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Utah 83:79 Portland Fire (Portland) NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Indiana Fever 110:107 Seattle Storm WNBA | Over 176.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Denver Nuggets (Denver) 101:108 Portland Fire (Portland) NBA Summer League | Under 206.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Denver Nuggets (Denver) 101:108 Portland Fire (Portland) NBA Summer League | Over 200.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Denver Nuggets (Denver) 101:108 Portland Fire (Portland) NBA Summer League | Over 185.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Miami 90:99 Toronto NBA Summer League | Over 188.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Miami 90:99 Toronto NBA Summer League | Over 173.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Washington Mystics 56:75 Portland Fire WNBA | Over 154.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Washington Mystics 56:75 Portland Fire WNBA | Over 166.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Oklahoma 87:97 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | Over 185.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108:94 Washington NBA Summer League | Over 192.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108:94 Washington NBA Summer League | Over 177.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) 76:82 Boston NBA Summer League | Under 150.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Charlotte 91:110 Milwaukee NBA Summer League | Over 195.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Over 164.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Detroit 88:100 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Under 186.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Charlotte 91:110 Milwaukee NBA Summer League | Under 192.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Detroit 88:100 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Over 198.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Detroit 88:100 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Under 195.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota 114:98 Indiana Fever (Indiana) NBA Summer League | Over 206.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota Lynx 96:87 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Over 177.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Chicago Sky 95:90 Seattle Storm WNBA | Over 181.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Chicago Sky 95:90 Seattle Storm WNBA | Over 193.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Chicago Sky 95:90 Seattle Storm WNBA | Over 166.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Chicago Sky 95:90 Seattle Storm WNBA | Over 169.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Oklahoma 103:106 Denver Nuggets (Denver) NBA Summer League | Under 210.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Oklahoma 103:106 Denver Nuggets (Denver) NBA Summer League | Under 207.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Oklahoma 103:106 Denver Nuggets (Denver) NBA Summer League | Over 201.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Oklahoma 103:106 Denver Nuggets (Denver) NBA Summer League | Over 177.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Oklahoma 103:106 Denver Nuggets (Denver) NBA Summer League | Over 180.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Golden 85:106 Memphis NBA Summer League | Over 179.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Connecticut Sun 90:87 Portland Fire WNBA | Over 172.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Portland Fire (Portland) 111:84 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Under 197.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Portland Fire (Portland) 111:84 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Minnesota to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Portland Fire (Portland) 111:84 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Over 176.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Milwaukee 88:95 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Phoenix to win | Won |