Kalshi · Baseball
thought.bull is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 15 picks, 66.7% win rate, $382 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 31 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 31 have settled: 15 won, 16 lost, 48.4% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 17 | 17 | 11 | 64.7% |
| Dota 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Leagues Cup | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Copa Libertadores | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| BLAST Bounty | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
thought.bull mainly predicts MLB: 17 of the last 31 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 15 orders, P&L $382, ROI 30.3%. In MLB, 11 of 17 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-13 14:37 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | GamerLegion 0–2 Aurora Dota 2 | GamerLegion to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Vici Gaming 0–2 Team Liquid Dota 2 | Map 1: Vici Gaming | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Angels 5–2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Portland Fire 81–85 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game: Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Nigma Galaxy 0–2 Iron Wing Dota 2 | Map 1: Nigma Galaxy | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | San Diego FC 3–2 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Leagues Cup | San Diego FC vs Puebla Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Inter Miami CF 2–3 Leon Leagues Cup | Miami vs Leon Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Toronto Blue Jays 6–4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | New York Yankees 10–5 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Palmeiras 1–1 Cerro Porteño (Cerro Porteno) Copa Libertadores | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | San Diego Padres 11–2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | San Francisco Giants 1–2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12–11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Indiana Fever 84–86 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Indiana women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12–11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 2–1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | SINNERS Esports 1–2 FUT Esports BLAST Bounty | SINNERS Esports to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2–5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Milwaukee Brewers 2–1 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | New York Yankees 1–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Indiana Fever 110–107 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Indiana winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Team Spirit 0–2 Yandex Dota 2 | Team Spirit to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | FURIA Esports 0–3 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) MSI | FURIA Esports to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Philadelphia 1–6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | New York Mets 1–2 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Saitama Seibu Lions 4–3 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters NPB | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Washington 5–10 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Washington 5–10 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | San Francisco 6–9 Athletics MLB | A's vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Miami 4–2 Texas MLB | Texas vs Miami Winner | Won |