Kalshi · 棒球
thought.bull，Kalshi 上的 MLB 高手：14 单、命中率 66.7%、盈利 $382。真实链上持仓，每日更新。
下方列出的最近 31 条预测（ 至 ）中已结算 31 条：命中 15、未中 16，这批记录的命中率为 48.4%。
| 所属联赛 | 记录数 | 已结算 | 命中 | 命中率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 17 | 17 | 11 | 64.7% |
| Dota 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Leagues Cup | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Copa Libertadores | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| BLAST Bounty | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
thought.bull 主要预测MLB：最近 31 条记录中有 17 条。平台：Kalshi。
按我们收集到的已结算订单：14 单、命中率 66.7%、盈亏 $382、回报率 30.3%。在MLB，最近 17 条已结算预测中命中 11 条。
命中率 = 命中的已结算预测 ÷ 已结算预测，未结算的不计。盈亏与回报率按每笔公开持仓的成本与结算结果计算。过往战绩不代表未来结果。
数据来源：Kalshi 公开持仓。数据截至 2026-08-13 14:37 UTC+8。计算方法：计算方法说明
| 日期 | 比赛 | 预测 | 结果 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | GamerLegion 0–2 Aurora Dota 2 | GamerLegion 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-13 | Vici Gaming 0–2 Team Liquid Dota 2 | Map 1: Vici Gaming | 未中 |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Angels 5–2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-13 | 波特兰火焰 (Portland Fire) 81–85 明尼苏达山猫 (Minnesota Lynx) WNBA | Minnesota vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game: Minnesota wins | 未中 |
| 2026-08-13 | Nigma Galaxy 0–2 Iron Wing Dota 2 | Map 1: Nigma Galaxy | 未中 |
| 2026-08-13 | 圣地牙哥足球会 (San Diego FC) 3–2 普埃布拉足球会 (Club Puebla) Leagues Cup | San Diego FC vs Puebla Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-13 | 迈阿密国际 (Inter Miami CF) 2–3 Leon Leagues Cup | Miami vs Leon Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-13 | Toronto Blue Jays 6–4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-13 | New York Yankees 10–5 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-12 | Palmeiras 1–1 波特诺山丘 (Cerro Porteno) Copa Libertadores | Over 0.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-12 | San Diego Padres 11–2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Diego Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-12 | San Francisco Giants 1–2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Francisco Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12–11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-07 | 印第安纳狂热 (Indiana Fever) 84–86 拉斯维加斯王牌 (Las Vegas Aces) WNBA | Las Vegas vs Indiana women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | 未中 |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12–11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 2–1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-23 | SINNERS Esports 1–2 FUT Esports BLAST Bounty | SINNERS Esports 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-07-21 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2–5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Arizona Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-18 | Milwaukee Brewers 2–1 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Milwaukee Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-18 | New York Yankees 1–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-18 | 印第安纳狂热 (Indiana Fever) 110–107 西雅图风暴 (Seattle Storm) WNBA | Seattle vs Indiana winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-16 | Team Spirit 0–2 Yandex Dota 2 | Team Spirit 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-07-04 | FURIA Esports 0–3 奥林匹克里昂 (LYON) MSI | FURIA Esports 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-07-02 | Philadelphia 1–6 匹兹堡河犬 (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-27 | New York Mets 1–2 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs New York M Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-27 | 乌拉圭国家足球队 (Uruguay) 0–1 西班牙国家足球队 (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-06-26 | Saitama Seibu Lions 4–3 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters NPB | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-26 | Washington 5–10 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Washington Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-26 | Washington 5–10 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Washington Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-06-25 | San Francisco 6–9 Athletics MLB | A's vs San Francisco Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-24 | Miami 4–2 Texas MLB | Texas vs Miami Winner | 命中 |