Kalshi · American football · Football
arnolio is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 107 picks, 63.8% win rate, $293 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 32 won, 27 lost, 54.2% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 21 | 21 | 11 | 52.4% |
| NFL | 21 | 20 | 13 | 65.0% |
| MLB | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Champions League | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
| Serie A | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
arnolio mainly predicts NFL: 21 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.8% hit rate over 107 orders, P&L $293, ROI 18.9%. In NFL, 13 of 20 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-14 06:28 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWLLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:1 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3:0 Lille OSC (Lille) Champions League | ARS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Inter Milan (Inter) 3:4 Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) Champions League | INT -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Atletico 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Champions League | Atletico wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | BAR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 7:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 7:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Over 54.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Torino FC 2:1 Udinese Calcio Serie A | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | ATL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Over 46.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | ATL -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Over 48.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Under 40.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona Cardinals 21:45 Detroit Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Over 47.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:23 Denver Broncos NFL | Under 42.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:23 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Tennessee Titans 3:26 Houston Texans NFL | Over 36.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Tennessee Titans 3:26 Houston Texans NFL | HOU -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Commanders 27:27 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Green Bay Packers 31:7 Chicago Bears NFL | GB -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | New York Jets 17:12 Cleveland Browns NFL | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Jacksonville wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | US Sassuolo Calcio 1:1 AC Milan Serie A | Milan wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:3 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Under 42.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Fresno State Bulldogs 31:38 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | Over 61.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona State Sun Devils 30:12 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | Hawai'i wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona State Sun Devils 30:12 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | ASU -20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Kentucky Wildcats 35:34 LSU Tigers NCAAF | Over 53.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Alabama Crimson Tide 17:20 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | Georgia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Penn St. 23:31 USC Trojans NCAAF | USC wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Kentucky Wildcats 35:34 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Over 48.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Kansas State Wildcats 16:35 Houston NCAAF | Over 53.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Vanderbilt Commodores 17:52 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | MISS -13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Kansas State Wildcats 16:35 Houston NCAAF | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | TEX -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Kylian Mbappe: First Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | RMA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Missouri Tigers 27:6 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | Under 39.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 1:1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 17:21 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | PITT -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Inter Milan (Inter) 3:0 Parma Calcio 1913 Serie A | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 17:20 Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF | IND -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Missouri Tigers 27:6 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | Missouri wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Barcelona 3:0 Getafe CF La Liga | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Barcelona 3:0 Getafe CF La Liga | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | BYU Cougars 24:10 Iowa St. NCAAF | BYU +16.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | BYU Cougars 24:10 Iowa St. NCAAF | Under 45.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | BYU Cougars 24:10 Iowa St. NCAAF | BYU +10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Louisville Cardinals 44:20 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | Over 65.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Las Vegas Aces 77:87 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Over 153.5 | Won |