Kalshi · Baseball · Football
jarpenter is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 27 picks, 66.7% win rate, $228 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 33 won, 26 lost, 55.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 25 | 25 | 16 | 64.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 15 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% |
| La Liga | 9 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| Champions League | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Uruguay Primera Division | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
jarpenter mainly predicts MLB: 25 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 27 orders, P&L $228, ROI 27.2%. In MLB, 16 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-11 00:30 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | FC Barcelona 3:0 Getafe CF La Liga | Gabriel Jesus: 1+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Golden State Warriors 124:98 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | Los Angeles L wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | San Diego Padres 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Atlanta Braves 1:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 New York Yankees MLB | Over 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Atlanta Braves 6:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) 1:1 Club Atlético Peñarol (Penarol) Uruguay Primera Division | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 4:1 Chicago Cubs MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:5 San Diego MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:0 San Diego MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Valencia 2:3 Real Sociedad La Liga | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | BAR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Los Angeles Dodgers 8:2 San Francisco MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Cincinnati Reds 0:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Colorado Rockies 7:8 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:9 Texas MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17:10 Oklahoma NCAAF | Michigan to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Bilbao 1:1 Elche CF La Liga | Bilbao wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Miami Marlins 2:6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Sevilla FC 1:0 Valencia La Liga | Sevilla wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 4:0 Sabah Masazir Champions League | Benjamin Sesko: First Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 4:0 Sabah Masazir Champions League | Matheus Cunha: First Goalscorer | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) 1:1 AS Roma Champions League | Roma wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Levante UD 2:4 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Sporting CP 3:1 Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) Champions League | Galatasaray wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:1 Atletico Champions League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | FC Barcelona 5:1 Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) Champions League | Raphinha: First Goalscorer | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Valencia 0:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Bilbao La Liga | Barcelona vs Bilbao Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | New York Mets 8:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | New York Mets 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | New York Mets 2:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | New York Yankees 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 12:7 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Luis Diaz: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:0 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | Atlanta 6:3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:3 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |