Kalshi · Football · Esports · Basketball
marcellDario254 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 56 picks, 71.0% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 26 won, 34 lost, 43.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 16 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% |
| CS2 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| MLS | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
marcellDario254 mainly predicts MLB: 16 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 71.0% hit rate over 56 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 33.6%. In MLB, 7 of 16 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-07 09:35 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago Fire FC 3:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Chicago Fire wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Intl Friendlies | Benin wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | WAS Commanders 13:30 IND Colts NFL | Josh Downs: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Mississippi State Bulldogs 23:56 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | Mississippi St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) 0:1 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) CONCACAF Nations League | Jamaica wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Necaxa 2:4 America Liga MX | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Erling Haaland: First Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions 31:24 New York Jets NFL | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Cleveland Browns 21:18 Carolina Panthers NFL | Chuba Hubbard: 18+ rushing attempts | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Gibraltar men's national football team (Gibraltar) 0:0 Andorra Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:0 Chile Intl Friendlies | Canada wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Chicago WS 6:1 Colorado MLB | Over 10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Temple Owls 17:21 Army Black Knights NCAAF | Army wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) 3:2 Nicaragua men's national football team (Nicaragua) CONCACAF Nations League | DOM -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico 2:1 Real Madrid La Liga | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Portland Fire (Portland) 0:1 Atlanta MLS | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Cincinnati 6:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Instituto Atlético Central Córdoba (Central Cordoba) 2:2 Defensa y Justicia Argentina Primera Division | Central Cordoba wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Instituto Atlético Central Córdoba (Central Cordoba) 2:2 Defensa y Justicia Argentina Primera Division | Defensa y Justicia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Chicago Sky 80:110 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Colorado 2:9 San Diego MLB | Over 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Real Sociedad 1:2 AFC Bournemouth Europa League | Bournemouth wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Cincinnati 2:8 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Over 12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Los Angeles Angels 2:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | New York Mets 1:7 Baltimore MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | FC Barcelona 7:2 Santander La Liga | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | San Diego FC 0:5 Philadelphia MLS | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | San Francisco Giants 4:6 San Diego Padres MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Houston Texans 31:36 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game: Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Getafe CF 1:1 Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | San Francisco Giants 5:7 San Diego Padres MLB | SD -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 20:0 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Over 20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Toronto Blue Jays 4:7 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Washington Nationals 4:3 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Chicago Cubs 12:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Over 13.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Chicago Cubs 12:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Al-Faisaly FC (Al-Faisaly) 1:3 Al Ittihad Saudi Pro League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Milwaukee Brewers 8:6 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Chicago Cubs 5:7 Cincinnati Reds MLB | CIN -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) 0:2 Bilbao La Liga | ATH -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Red Bull New York (New York RB) 0:1 Nashville SC MLS | New York RB vs Nashville Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Red Bull New York (New York RB) 0:1 Nashville SC MLS | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Inter Milan (Inter) 1:0 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) Club Friendlies | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | K.V. Kortrijk (KV Kortrijk) 0:3 Royal Antwerp F.C. (Royal Antwerp FC) Belgian Pro League | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1:0 VfB Stuttgart Club Friendlies | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | M´gladbach 2:1 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Club Friendlies | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 3:1 Real Sociedad Club Friendlies | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | paiN 2:1 Wildcard CS2 | Wildcard to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Xtreme Gaming 1:2 LGD Gaming Dota 2 | Xtreme Gaming to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Lazer Cats 1:2 ex-MANA eSports CS2 | Under 2.5 maps | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Team Heretics 0:2 Eintracht Frankfurt VCT EMEA | Team Heretics to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Team Vitality 1:2 B8 CS2 | B8 to win | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Misa Esports 2:1 Leo Team CS2 | Misa Esports to win | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Fire Flux Esports 1:2 BakS eSports CS2 | BakS eSports to win | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | MOUZ NXT 2:0 Lazer Cats CS2 | MOUZ NXT to win | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | MOUZ 1:2 FUT Esports CS2 | MOUZ to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Yandex 1:2 Aurora Dota 2 | Team Yandex to win | Lost |