Kalshi · Football
tropical.swordtail6833 is a Nations League pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 63.2% win rate, $864 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 26 won, 33 lost, 44.1% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 10 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| Intl Friendlies | 8 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| La Liga | 5 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
tropical.swordtail6833 mainly predicts Nations League: 10 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.2% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $864, ROI 48.4%. In Nations League, 6 of 10 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-12 06:36 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) 2:1 Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Santander 2:2 Valencia La Liga | Santander wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:3 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) 1:2 Atletico La Liga | Atletico wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Belgium women's national football team (Belgium W) 1:0 Poland women's national football team (Poland W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Hungary women's national football team (Hungary W) 0:8 Netherlands women's national association football team (Netherlands W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Northern Ireland women’s national football team (Northern Ireland W) 0:4 Portugal women's national football team (Portugal W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Czechia W 0:2 Scotland women's national football team (Scotland W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Greece women's national football team (Greece W) 1:3 England women's national football team (England W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Turkiye W 3:3 Slovenia women's national football team (Slovenia W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | Turkiye wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Israel women's national football team (Israel W) 3:7 Switzerland women's national football team (Switzerland W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | Israel wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Zhejiang Prof. 2:4 Shanghai Port F.C. (Shanghai Port) Chinese Super League | Shanghai Port wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Gangwon FC 2:0 Bucheon FC 1995 Korea K League 1 | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Gangwon FC 2:0 Bucheon FC 1995 Korea K League 1 | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Croatia women's national football team (Croatia W) 0:4 Iceland women's national football team (Iceland W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | Croatia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Fortaleza Fútbol Club (Fortaleza CEIF) 1:1 Millonarios Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Ucv Moquegua 0:2 Cienciano Peru Liga 1 | Ucv Moquegua wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Inter Toronto FC 1:2 FC Supra du Québec (FC Supra Du Quebec) Canadian Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | Chile wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 4:0 Sint Maarten CONCACAF Nations League | Sint Maarten wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) 1:0 Suriname CONCACAF Nations League | Guatemala wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) 1:0 Suriname CONCACAF Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 3:1 Turkiye Nations League | Turkiye wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 3:1 Turkiye Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | France 4:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Mauritius 2:3 Sri Lanka Intl Friendlies | Sri Lanka wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Mauritius 2:3 Sri Lanka Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Uganda men's national basketball team (Uganda) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Costa Rica 2:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) CONCACAF Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Trinidad and Tobago men's national football team (Trinidad and Tobago) 1:1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Trinidad and Tobago men's national football team (Trinidad and Tobago) 1:1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) CONCACAF Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 7:0 Burkina Faso men's national football team (Burkina Faso) Intl Friendlies | ARG -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) Nations League | ESP -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) Nations League | Lamine Yamal: First Goalscorer | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 0:7 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | ENG -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 0:7 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | Harry Kane: First Goalscorer | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | India men's national football team (India) 0:4 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Intl Friendlies | BRA -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 2:1 Albania men's national football team (Albania) Nations League | Albania wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Suriname 0:0 Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) CONCACAF Nations League | Guatemala wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 1:0 Trinidad and Tobago men's national football team (Trinidad and Tobago) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 2:1 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Intl Friendlies | Venezuela wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Ind. Medellin 2:1 Jaguares Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Jaguares wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Real Madrid CF Femenino 1:1 PSG W Women's Champions League | PSG wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Karvina 3:2 SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czech National Football League | SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Birmingham Legion FC 4:4 New Mexico United USL Championship | Birmingham Legion FC wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Once Caldas 1:0 Tolima Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tolima wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) 1:1 Santos F.C. (Santos FC) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Atletico Mineiro To Advance | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Levante UD 0:0 Bilbao La Liga | Bilbao wins | Pending |
| 2026-09-15 | Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) 2:1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) La Liga | Espanyol wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Villarreal CF 1:2 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Real Betis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Como 1907 2:1 Parma Calcio 1913 Serie A | Parma Calcio wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Napoli wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | FC Barcelona 5:1 Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) Champions League | Feyenoord wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | FC Porto 0:2 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Champions League | Porto wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |