Kalshi · American football
the.xman is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 28 picks, 67.9% win rate, $930 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 30 | 30 | 15 | 50.0% |
| NCAAF | 28 | 28 | 19 | 67.9% |
| FIFA World Cup | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
the.xman mainly predicts NFL: 30 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 67.9% hit rate over 28 orders, P&L $930, ROI 48.5%. In NFL, 15 of 30 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-19 08:22 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Las Vegas Raiders 30:33 Buffalo Bills NFL | BUF -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | OSU +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Purdue Boilermakers 26:38 Washington NCAAF | WASH -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Michigan Wolverines 21:18 Penn St. NCAAF | MICH -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | SEA +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | LAR -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Under 45.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Alabama Crimson Tide 17:20 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | Georgia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 17:20 Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF | Nebraska wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Washington 24:41 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | WASH +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Washington 24:41 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | Iowa wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Washington 24:41 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | WASH +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | San Francisco 49ers 24:14 DEN Broncos NFL | SF +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | CIN Bengals 17:22 JAC Jaguars NFL | Under 51.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | BAL Ravens 24:18 Tennessee Titans NFL | BAL -11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | HOU Texans 30:34 DAL Cowboys NFL | HOU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Minnesota 20:14 Michigan Wolverines NCAAF | Michigan wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | VT +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | VT +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27:35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | NO -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24:16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | BUF -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Indianapolis Colts 19:17 Houston Texans NFL | HOU -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Miami Dolphins 10:24 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | KC -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions 31:24 New York Jets NFL | DET -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Cleveland Browns 21:18 Carolina Panthers NFL | CAR -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Jacksonville Jaguars 35:6 New England Patriots NFL | JAC -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 41:13 Oklahoma NCAAF | Over 45.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Michigan Wolverines 19:20 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | MICH -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | FLA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | FLA -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | LAR +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | KC -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Arizona Cardinals 7:31 SEA Seahawks NFL | SEA +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | DEN Broncos 20:13 JAC Jaguars NFL | DEN -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | BAL Ravens 17:24 New Orleans Saints NFL | BAL +8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | CHI Bears 3:9 MIN Vikings NFL | CHI +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Louisville Cardinals 41:31 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 27:13 Syracuse Orange NCAAF | PITT -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 27:13 Syracuse Orange NCAAF | PITT -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Carolina Panthers 37:59 Chicago Bears NFL | CHI -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Houston Texans 31:36 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game: Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Oklahoma State Cowboys 39:31 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | Oklahoma St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | TEX +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Michigan Wolverines 17:10 Oklahoma NCAAF | OKLA +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Cincinnati Bengals 33:27 Tampa Bay NFL | Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati Pro Football game: Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Cincinnati Bengals 33:27 Tampa Bay NFL | CIN +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Detroit 31:30 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NFL | Over 50.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | LAR +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | SEA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Michigan Wolverines 13:12 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | MICH -27.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Oregon Ducks 34:27 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | ORE -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Stanford Cardinal 37:27 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | Under 46.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Virginia Cavaliers 34:8 North Carolina St. NCAAF | UVA -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:15 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | North Carolina to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |