Kalshi · Football
Doug2Fresh is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 21 picks, 66.7% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 42 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 42 have settled: 20 won, 22 lost, 47.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 27 | 27 | 15 | 55.6% |
| NCAAF | 9 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
Doug2Fresh mainly predicts World Cup: 27 of the last 42 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 21 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 47.5%. In World Cup, 15 of 27 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-18 03:23 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Boston College Eagles 27:21 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Los Angeles Lakers 106:121 Denver Nuggets NBA | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:23 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Texas to win | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Texas Longhorns 59:7 Texas State Bobcats NCAAF | Texas St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Temple Owls 38:14 Rhode Island Rams NCAAF | Rhode Island wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | James Madison Dukes 20:13 Liberty Flames NCAAF | Liberty wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Bowling Green Falcons 13:20 Tarleton State Texans NCAAF | Bowling Green wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 49:21 Ohio Bobcats NCAAF | Ohio wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | USC Trojans 39:0 Fresno State Bulldogs NCAAF | Fresno St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Stanford Cardinal 6:45 Miami (FL) NCAAF | Stanford wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | ESP -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | JPN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | ECU +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) FIFA World Cup | Austria vs Jordan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Iraq vs Norway Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Germany 7:1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | GER -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |