Kalshi · Football
TropicalRain is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 21 picks, 61.9% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 26 won, 34 lost, 43.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 28 | 28 | 16 | 57.1% |
| NCAAF | 7 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| Intl Friendlies | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Nations League | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| NFL | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
TropicalRain mainly predicts MLB: 28 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.9% hit rate over 21 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 35.0%. In MLB, 16 of 28 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-05 07:41 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | SEA Seahawks 30:23 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 San Diego Padres MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Iowa Hawkeyes 14:31 Ohio St. NCAAF | Iowa wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | France wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) Nations League | Sweden wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 0:0 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Intl Friendlies | Korea Republic wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Guinea men's national basketball team (Guinea) 1:0 Kenya men's national football team (Kenya) AFCON | Kenya wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 0:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) Intl Friendlies | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 1:1 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) Intl Friendlies | New Zealand wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Philadelphia 0:2 Tampa Bay MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 3:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) Intl Friendlies | Korea Republic wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Portland Fire 90:82 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Portland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Chicago Cubs 2:8 Miami MLB | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico 2:1 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | UCLA Bruins 52:38 Purdue Boilermakers NCAAF | Purdue wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Los Angeles Angels 6:5 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Delaware Blue Hens 22:14 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers NCAAF | Delaware wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Delaware Blue Hens 22:14 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers NCAAF | Coastal Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Los Angeles Angels 2:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Minnesota Twins 5:4 New York Yankees MLB | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Minnesota Twins 5:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Los Angeles Angels 2:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Los Angeles Angels 2:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF 2:3 Real Madrid La Liga | RMA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Oregon State Beavers 24:35 Texas Tech Red Raiders NCAAF | Oregon St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Kentucky Wildcats 17:45 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | ALA -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Atlanta Braves 3:7 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | FC Barcelona 5:2 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | Final score FC Barcelona wins 3-0 | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Chicago Cubs 5:7 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Baltimore Orioles 3:5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:4 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Baltimore Orioles 1:3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:1 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Boston Red Sox 11:1 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Kansas City Royals 9:5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1:0 VfB Stuttgart Club Friendlies | Fulham vs Stuttgart Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 2:2 AS Roma Club Friendlies | Dortmund vs Roma Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Atlanta Braves 0:2 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Chicago Sky 84:83 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Chicago women's Pro Basketball game: Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:9 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:9 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Baltimore Orioles 6:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Cincinnati Reds 8:7 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Chicago Cubs 0:2 New York Yankees MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | New York Yankees 3:5 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Wolves Esports 1:2 XLG Gaming VCT China | XLG Gaming to win | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Wolves Esports 1:2 XLG Gaming VCT China | Wolves Esports to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Seattle Mariners 2:4 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Arizona Diamondbacks 6:5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Ici Japon Corp. Esport 1:0 TLN Pirates LFL | TLN Pirates to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Ici Japon Corp. Esport 1:0 TLN Pirates LFL | Ici Japon Corp. Esport to win | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | eternal premium 1:2 Mai tai CS2 | Mai tai to win | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | eternal premium 1:2 Mai tai CS2 | eternal premium to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Dplus KIA 0:1 BNK FEARX KeSPA Cup | Dplus KIA to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Dplus KIA 0:1 BNK FEARX KeSPA Cup | BNK FEARX to win | Won |