Kalshi · Baseball
basic.pony9435 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 45 picks, 64.4% win rate, $291 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 51 | 51 | 29 | 56.9% |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| NCAAF | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| FIFA World Cup | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
basic.pony9435 mainly predicts MLB: 51 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.4% hit rate over 45 orders, P&L $291, ROI 26.8%. In MLB, 29 of 51 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-18 09:51 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | BUF -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | BUF -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Washington Nationals 0:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia first 5 innings winner | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Cincinnati Reds 6:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Toronto Blue Jays 1:10 Detroit Tigers MLB | Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:4 Miami Marlins MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | New York Mets 5:7 Baltimore MLB | New York M wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Cleveland Guardians 7:6 Chicago WS MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8:7 Miami Marlins MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Cleveland Guardians 3:7 Chicago WS MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Under 43.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 29:19 New Mexico State Aggies NCAAF | Team Over 27.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Utah Utes 43:10 Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAF | Arkansas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Oregon State Beavers 24:35 Texas Tech Red Raiders NCAAF | Oregon St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Boston Red Sox 6:9 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Detroit Tigers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | St. Louis Cardinals 4:1 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:0 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Detroit Tigers 0:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | New York Mets 3:2 Milwaukee MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | San Diego Padres 2:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | PIT -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Boston Red Sox 3:2 San Francisco Giants MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Texas Rangers 2:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Texas Rangers 5:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | New York Mets 2:1 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:1 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Texas Rangers 5:10 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Miami Marlins 7:0 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Texas Rangers 2:1 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 7:3 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Baltimore Orioles 1:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3:2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | TOR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Boston Red Sox 12:11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Seattle Mariners 3:5 Minnesota Twins MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:2 Seattle Mariners MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | New York Mets 4:2 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Athletics 4:5 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Chicago WS 6:5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Minnesota Twins 0:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | St. Louis Cardinals 3:2 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Detroit Tigers 9:10 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | New York Mets 0:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Minnesota Twins 3:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Miami Marlins 8:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Boston Red Sox 6:1 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | New York Mets 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Washington Nationals 2:3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Detroit Tigers 2:1 Kansas City Royals MLB | DET -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Minnesota Twins 0:2 Athletics MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Baltimore Orioles 6:7 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | St. Louis Cardinals 2:4 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Atlanta 4:3 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Miami 6:3 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |