Kalshi · 棒球
basic.pony9435，Kalshi 上的 MLB 高手：45 单、命中率 64.4%、盈利 $291。真实链上持仓，每日更新。
下方列出的最近 60 条预测（ 至 ）中已结算 60 条：命中 35、未中 25，这批记录的命中率为 58.3%。
| 所属联赛 | 记录数 | 已结算 | 命中 | 命中率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 51 | 51 | 29 | 56.9% |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| NCAAF | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| FIFA World Cup | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
basic.pony9435 主要预测MLB：最近 60 条记录中有 51 条。平台：Kalshi。
按我们收集到的已结算订单：45 单、命中率 64.4%、盈亏 $291、回报率 26.8%。在MLB，最近 51 条已结算预测中命中 29 条。
命中率 = 命中的已结算预测 ÷ 已结算预测，未结算的不计。盈亏与回报率按每笔公开持仓的成本与结算结果计算。过往战绩不代表未来结果。
数据来源：Kalshi 公开持仓。数据截至 2026-09-18 09:51 UTC+8。计算方法：计算方法说明
| 日期 | 比赛 | 预测 | 结果 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | BUF -10.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | BUF -6.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-16 | Washington Nationals 0:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia first 5 innings winner | 命中 |
| 2026-09-16 | Cincinnati Reds 6:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Over 8.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-15 | Toronto Blue Jays 1:10 Detroit Tigers MLB | Toronto wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:4 Miami Marlins MLB | Arizona wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-15 | New York Mets 5:7 Baltimore MLB | New York M wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-15 | Cleveland Guardians 7:6 Chicago WS MLB | Cleveland wins | 命中 |
| 2026-09-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8:7 Miami Marlins MLB | Arizona wins | 命中 |
| 2026-09-15 | Cleveland Guardians 3:7 Chicago WS MLB | Cleveland wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | 命中 |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Under 43.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-13 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 29:19 New Mexico State Aggies NCAAF | Team Over 27.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-13 | Utah Utes 43:10 Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAF | Arkansas wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-13 | Oregon State Beavers 24:35 Texas Tech Red Raiders NCAAF | Oregon St. wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-01 | Boston Red Sox 6:9 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 7.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-29 | Detroit Tigers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 7.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-28 | St. Louis Cardinals 4:1 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 7.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-26 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:0 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-26 | Detroit Tigers 0:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-25 | New York Mets 3:2 Milwaukee MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-25 | San Diego Padres 2:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | PIT -1.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-22 | Boston Red Sox 3:2 San Francisco Giants MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-20 | Texas Rangers 2:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-18 | Texas Rangers 5:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-17 | New York Mets 2:1 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:1 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-09 | Texas Rangers 5:10 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 8.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-08 | Miami Marlins 7:0 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 7.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-07 | Texas Rangers 2:1 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 7:3 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Philadelphia Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-06 | Baltimore Orioles 1:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Baltimore Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3:2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | TOR -1.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-06 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-06 | Boston Red Sox 12:11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-07-31 | Seattle Mariners 3:5 Minnesota Twins MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-07-30 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:2 Seattle Mariners MLB | Over 8.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-07-30 | New York Mets 4:2 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs New York M Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-30 | Athletics 4:5 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-29 | Chicago WS 6:5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-29 | Minnesota Twins 0:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Minnesota Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-29 | St. Louis Cardinals 3:2 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-07-28 | Detroit Tigers 9:10 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Detroit Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-28 | New York Mets 0:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York M Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-28 | Minnesota Twins 3:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Minnesota Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-28 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-07-27 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-27 | Miami Marlins 8:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-26 | Boston Red Sox 6:1 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Boston Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-25 | New York Mets 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-07-24 | Washington Nationals 2:3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Washington Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-24 | Detroit Tigers 2:1 Kansas City Royals MLB | DET -1.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-07-24 | Minnesota Twins 0:2 Athletics MLB | Over 8.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-07-24 | Baltimore Orioles 6:7 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 8.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-07-24 | St. Louis Cardinals 2:4 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-07-03 | 阿根廷国家足球队 (Argentina) 1:1 佛得角国家足球队 (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-20 | Atlanta 4:3 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Atlanta Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-06-20 | Miami 6:3 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco vs Miami Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 科特迪瓦国家足球队 (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | 命中 |