Kalshi · Football
early.bullfrog1944 is a Champions League pro on Kalshi: 33 picks, 75.0% win rate, $218 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 57 have settled: 16 won, 41 lost, 28.1% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | 7 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Argentina Primera Division | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| German 3. Liga | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Egyptian Premier League | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| La Liga 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
early.bullfrog1944 mainly predicts Champions League: 8 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.0% hit rate over 33 orders, P&L $218, ROI 44.7%. In Champions League, 2 of 8 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-15 10:44 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLLLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | San Diego FC 3:3 Houston MLS | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Chicago Fire FC 1:3 Philadelphia MLS | Chicago Fire wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Inter Miami CF 2:0 New York City FC MLS | New York City wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Junin 1:1 Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) Argentina Primera Division | River Plate wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Independ. Santa Fe Jaguares Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Jaguares wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) 1:1 Pereira Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) 1:1 Pereira Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Pereira wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Junin 1:1 Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Junin 1:1 Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) Argentina Primera Division | Junin wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Millonarios Once Caldas Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Millonarios wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Millonarios Once Caldas Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Once Caldas wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 3:2 FC Porto Champions League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0:3 VfB Stuttgart Champions League | Slovan Bratislava wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 3:2 FC Porto Champions League | Porto wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Munster 1:2 Dusseldorf German 3. Liga | Dusseldorf wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | FC Viktoria Köln (Viktoria Cologne) 2:2 Großaspach German 3. Liga | Viktoria Cologne wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | FC Viktoria Köln (Viktoria Cologne) 2:2 Großaspach German 3. Liga | Großaspach wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | FC Viktoria Köln (Viktoria Cologne) 2:2 Großaspach German 3. Liga | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Munster 1:2 Dusseldorf German 3. Liga | Munster wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:4 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Champions League | PSG wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Roma wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | UD Santarém 2:3 Vicente Barcelos Taca de Portugal | Santarem wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Munster 1:2 Dusseldorf German 3. Liga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) 3:2 Como 1907 Champions League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) 4:2 Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro) Brasileiro Serie A | Cruzeiro wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Botafogo Futebol Clube (Botafogo SP) 1:0 Ceará Sporting Club (Ceara) Brasileiro Serie B | Ceara wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) 4:2 Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro) Brasileiro Serie A | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Criciúma Esporte Clube (Criciuma) 1:0 America FC Brasileiro Serie B | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Club Atletico All Boys (All Boys) 0:0 Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba (Godoy Cruz) Argentine Nacional B | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Club Nacional Asunción 1:0 CD Recoleta APF Division de Honor | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (Chapecoense) 1:4 Paranaense Brasileiro Serie A | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Mendoza 1:0 Newell's Old Boys Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | HFX Wanderers FC (HFX) 2:2 Cavalry FC Canadian Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | HFX Wanderers FC (HFX) 2:2 Cavalry FC Canadian Premier League | Cavalry wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Mendoza 1:0 Newell's Old Boys Argentina Primera Division | Newell's Old Boys wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Hapoel Jerusalem 1:4 Maccabi Haifa Israeli Premier League | Hapoel Jerusalem wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Smouha SC (Smouha) 1:0 El Mahallah Egyptian Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Oviedo 3:1 SD Eibar (Eibar) La Liga 2 | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Al Wasl FC (Al Wasl) 1:3 Al Ahli Saudi Club AFC Champions League | Al Ahli Saudi wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Oviedo 3:1 SD Eibar (Eibar) La Liga 2 | Oviedo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Al Wasl FC (Al Wasl) 1:3 Al Ahli Saudi Club AFC Champions League | Al Wasl wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | PAOK FC (PAOK) 1:3 Kalamata F.C. (Kalamata) Greece Super League | Kalamata wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Modern 3:2 ENPPI SC (Enppi) Egyptian Premier League | Enppi wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Modern 3:2 ENPPI SC (Enppi) Egyptian Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Burgos CF 0:1 Granada CF La Liga 2 | Granada wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Modern 3:2 ENPPI SC (Enppi) Egyptian Premier League | Modern wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Pakhtakor Tashkent FK (Pakhtakor) 1:1 Al Qadsiah FC (Al Qadsiah) AFC Champions League | Pakhtakor wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Real Valladolid (Valladolid) 5:0 Albacete Balompié (Albacete) La Liga 2 | Albacete wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Pumas UNAM 3:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | América de Cali (America Cali) 1:2 Ind. Medellin Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | America Cali wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Pumas UNAM 3:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Pumas UNAM wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | América de Cali (America Cali) 1:2 Ind. Medellin Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Ind. Medellin wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Talleres de Córdoba (Talleres Cordoba) 0:0 Club Atlético Independiente (Independiente Avellaneda) Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Uganda men's national basketball team (Uganda) 1:0 Libya men's national basketball team (Libya) AFCON | Libya wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Zambia 2:0 Togo men's national football team (Togo) AFCON | Togo wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Russia men's national football team (Russia) 2:0 IR Iran Intl Friendlies | IR Iran wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Burundi men's national football team (Burundi) 2:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) AFCON | Burundi wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Comoros men's national football team (Comoros) 1:0 Namibia AFCON | Namibia wins | Lost |