Kalshi · Football
instant.wagtail4376 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 20 picks, 60.0% win rate, $492 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 47 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 47 have settled: 21 won, 26 lost, 44.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 25 | 25 | 12 | 48.0% |
| MLB | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
| NFL | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| WNBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Champions League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
instant.wagtail4376 mainly predicts World Cup: 25 of the last 47 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.0% hit rate over 20 orders, P&L $492, ROI 21.7%. In World Cup, 12 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-12 01:26 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Green Bay Packers 31:7 Chicago Bears NFL | Chicago wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Raiders 27:30 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Dallas Wings 108:100 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:3 New York Yankees MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Knattspyrnufélagið Víkingur (Vikingur Reykjavik) 2:1 Be`er Sheva Champions League | Vikingur Reykjavik vs Be`er Sheva Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Dallas Wings 96:91 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Dallas winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 5:10 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Orense S.C. (Orense SC) 1:2 Tecnico Uni Ecuador LigaPro | Orense vs Tecnico Uni Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | 10+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Chicago Cubs 0:3 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Grêmio Novorizontino (Gremio Novorizontino) 3:0 Atlético Clube Goianiense (AC Goianiense) Brasileiro Serie B | Gremio Novorizontino vs AC Goianiense Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Seattle 0:2 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | MIR 1:2 Joblife VCL EMEA | MIR to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Baltimore 6:1 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Baltimore 4:6 Washington MLB | Washington vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 9:4 Cincinnati MLB | Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Los Angeles Angels 4:1 Athletics MLB | A's vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3:3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Argentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | San Francisco 6:9 Athletics MLB | A's vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | San Francisco 2:1 Athletics MLB | A's vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | ECU +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |