Kalshi · Football · Active
joaolucas is a Champions League pro on Kalshi: 82 picks, 73.4% win rate, $976 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 29 won, 31 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | 8 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| Argentina Primera Division | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| MLS | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| EFL Championship | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| AFC Champions League | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
joaolucas mainly predicts Champions League: 8 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 73.4% hit rate over 82 orders, P&L $976, ROI 35.2%. In Champions League, 4 of 8 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-15 10:49 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 1:1 San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) MLS | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 0:0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | FC Dallas 1:0 Seattle MLS | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) 3:0 Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Junin 1:1 Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) Argentina Primera Division | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:4 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Champions League | Over 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Bodoe/Glimt 1:0 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Champions League | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Norwich City F.C. (Norwich) 0:1 Southampton F.C. (Southampton FC) EFL Championship | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | UD Santarém 2:3 Vicente Barcelos Taca de Portugal | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) 3:2 Como 1907 Champions League | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Keciorengucu 0:0 Igdir TFF 1. Lig | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Munster 1:2 Dusseldorf German 3. Liga | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Bohemians 1905 (Bohemians Prague) 1:0 Mlada Boleslav Czech First League | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Boca Juniors 0:1 CR Vasco da Gama (Vasco da Gama) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Bucaramanga 1:1 Aguilas Doradas Rionegro Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Athletic Club Sjdr 2:2 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileiro Serie B | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Leipzig 1:0 PSV Eindhoven (Eindhoven) Champions League | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3:0 Lille OSC (Lille) Champions League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Stoke City F.C. (Stoke) 2:3 Middlesbrough F.C. (Middlesbrough FC) EFL Championship | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Millwall F.C. (Millwall FC) 0:1 Swansea City A.F.C. (Swansea) EFL Championship | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) 1:2 West Bromwich Albion F.C. (West Bromwich) EFL Championship | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | R.C. Lens (Lens) 0:2 Sporting CP Champions League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Sabah Masazir 2:0 SK Slavia Prague (Slavia Prague) Champions League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Buriram United F.C. (Buriram) 0:1 Beijing Guoan AFC Champions League | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Bandirma 1:1 Sivasspor TFF 1. Lig | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Botafogo Futebol Clube (Botafogo SP) 1:0 Ceará Sporting Club (Ceara) Brasileiro Serie B | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Club Atletico All Boys (All Boys) 0:0 Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba (Godoy Cruz) Argentine Nacional B | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Criciúma Esporte Clube (Criciuma) 1:0 America FC Brasileiro Serie B | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Mendoza 1:0 Newell's Old Boys Argentina Primera Division | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Racing de Córdoba (Racing de Cordoba) 1:0 Los Andes Argentine Nacional B | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Club Atlético Lanús (Lanus) 2:0 Club Atlético Vélez Sarsfield (Velez Sarsfield) Argentina Primera Division | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Delfino Pescara 1936 (Pescara) 1:1 Guidonia Montecelio Serie C | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Mladost Lucani 0:0 Beograd Serbian SuperLiga | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Mladost Lucani 0:0 Beograd Serbian SuperLiga | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Malmö FF (Malmo) 1:0 Kalmar Allsvenskan | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Tractor Tabriz 0:0 Al-Shamal AFC Champions League | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Tractor Tabriz 0:0 Al-Shamal AFC Champions League | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Burgos CF 0:1 Granada CF La Liga 2 | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Al Mokawloon Al Arab SC (Al Mokawloon) 1:1 Zed Egyptian Premier League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Talleres de Córdoba (Talleres Cordoba) 0:0 Club Atlético Independiente (Independiente Avellaneda) Argentina Primera Division | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Talleres de Córdoba (Talleres Cordoba) 0:0 Club Atlético Independiente (Independiente Avellaneda) Argentina Primera Division | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) 1:0 Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) Brasileiro Serie A | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) 2:1 Santos F.C. (Santos FC) Brasileiro Serie A | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Cádiz Club de Fútbol (Cádiz CF) 0:1 Gijon La Liga 2 | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | ES Troyes AC (Troyes) 0:2 Olympique de Marseille (Marseille) Ligue 1 | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | US Sassuolo Calcio 1:1 AC Milan Serie A | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:3 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | POT Iraklis 2:0 Levadiakos F.C. (Levadiakos) Greece Super League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Zwolle 0:1 SC Cambuur (Cambuur) Eredivisie | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Zwolle 0:1 SC Cambuur (Cambuur) Eredivisie | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 2:2 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Elche CF 0:0 RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) La Liga | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | VfL Bochum 0:1 Bielefeld Bundesliga 2 | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Elche CF 0:0 RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) La Liga | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | VfL Bochum 0:1 Bielefeld Bundesliga 2 | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) 1:0 Rio Cuarto Argentina Primera Division | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Philadelphia 2:1 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) MLS | Over 1.5 | Won |