Kalshi · Football
kcastro01 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 38 picks, 60.5% win rate, $621 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 21 won, 39 lost, 35.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 17 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% |
| Leagues Cup | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% |
| La Liga | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| Nations League | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| MLS | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Liga MX | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
kcastro01 mainly predicts World Cup: 17 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.5% hit rate over 38 orders, P&L $621, ROI 30.5%. In World Cup, 7 of 17 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-18 08:16 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 1:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) 2:1 OFI Crete F.C. (OFI Crete) Europa League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Intl Friendlies | Lionel Messi: 3+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) 1:0 Suriname CONCACAF Nations League | Guatemala wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Martinique 1:1 El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | France 4:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Latvia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Portugal wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) Intl Friendlies | Mexico wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 0:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Queretaro wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) Nations League | Norway wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | FC Barcelona W 5:2 Paris FC W Women's Champions League | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | America 2:2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Final score FC Barcelona wins 4-1 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | AS Roma 2:2 Inter Milan (Inter) Serie A | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:3 Elche CF La Liga | Elche wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:3 Villarreal CF La Liga | Malaga wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 0:1 Sevilla FC La Liga | Sevilla wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 Nashville SC MLS | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Bilbao 1:1 Elche CF La Liga | Bilbao wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Bilbao 1:1 Elche CF La Liga | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | FC Barcelona 5:2 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | Final score FC Barcelona wins 3-0 | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Espanyol vs Real Madrid Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Leagues Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Chicago Fire FC 3:1 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Leagues Cup | Chicago Fire vs Santos Laguna Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 0:1 FC Dallas Leagues Cup | Guadalajara vs Dallas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | New England 0:2 Houston MLS | New England vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Udinese Calcio 1:0 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Udinese vs Barcelona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Portland Fire (Portland) 5:2 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Leagues Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | America 3:1 San Diego FC Leagues Cup | America vs San Diego FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Chicago Fire FC 2:0 Club Necaxa Leagues Cup | CHI -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | America 3:1 San Diego FC Leagues Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Leagues Cup | Los Angeles F vs Guadalajara Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Minnesota 1:2 Juarez Leagues Cup | Minnesota vs Juarez Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 1:1 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) Leagues Cup | Tigres vs Salt Lake Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 Columbus Crew (Columbus) MLS | MIA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Vitoria 0:4 Palmeiras Brasileiro Serie A | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Bilbao 2:2 SD Eibar (Eibar) Club Friendlies | Bilbao vs Eibar Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | LA Galaxy 1:3 St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) MLS | STL +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Inter Miami CF 3:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Inter Miami CF wins 3-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain win in Extra Time | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Argentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Bradley Barcola: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Ousmane Dembele: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England wins 3-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | ENG +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 3-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 3:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 2-1 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | No Goal: First Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Lost |