Kalshi · American football · Football · Top pro
m.smed is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 134 picks, 72.4% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 41 won, 19 lost, 68.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 25 | 25 | 17 | 68.0% |
| NCAAF | 22 | 22 | 16 | 72.7% |
| WNBA | 10 | 10 | 7 | 70.0% |
| MLS | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| NBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| MLB | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
m.smed mainly predicts NFL: 25 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 72.4% hit rate over 134 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 21.4%. In NFL, 17 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC+8. Method: methodology
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| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 1:1 San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) MLS | Salt Lake wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Clippers 122:110 Denver Nuggets NBA | Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Missouri State Bears 24:21 Kennesaw State Owls NCAAF | Missouri St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Sam Houston Bearkats 3:16 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAAF | Western Kentucky wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Green Bay Packers 31:7 Chicago Bears NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Jacksonville wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Alabama Crimson Tide 17:20 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | Georgia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Penn St. 23:31 USC Trojans NCAAF | USC wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Arkansas Razorbacks 17:24 Tennessee NCAAF | Tennessee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | South Carolina Gamecocks 34:35 Kentucky Wildcats NCAAF | South Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Texas A&M Aggies 34:7 Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAF | Arkansas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44:45 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | Tulsa wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Las Vegas Aces 94:83 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Dallas Wings 108:100 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Washington Mystics 75:93 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Liberty 87:71 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | New York wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Indiana Fever 99:89 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24:16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Miami Dolphins 10:24 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Francisco 49ers 36:30 Arizona Cardinals NFL | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Montana State Bobcats 28:14 Northern Arizona Lumberjacks NCAAF | Montana St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Nevada Wolf Pack 33:36 Air Force Falcons NCAAF | Air Force wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington 24:27 Minnesota NCAAF | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Florida wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 41:13 Oklahoma NCAAF | Georgia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Louisville Cardinals 27:30 Wake Forest Demon Deacons NCAAF | Louisville wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle Storm 91:103 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | Clemson wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Stanford Cardinal 34:27 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets NCAAF | Georgia Tech wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | LSU Tigers 35:6 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | LSU wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Cincinnati 31:26 Kansas State Wildcats NCAAF | Kansas St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Baylor Bears 23:13 Colorado Buffaloes NCAAF | Baylor wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Iowa St. 17:31 Utah Utes NCAAF | Utah wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Portland Fire 90:82 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Las Vegas Aces 89:79 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | LV -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Chicago Sky 97:85 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Temple Owls 17:21 Army Black Knights NCAAF | Army wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Philadelphia 6:4 Milwaukee MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Indiana Fever 96:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | DEN Broncos 20:13 JAC Jaguars NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | DAL Cowboys 37:20 WAS Commanders NFL | Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Tennessee Titans 20:24 PHI Eagles NFL | Tennessee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17:20 Green Bay Packers NFL | New York J wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | New England Patriots 20:3 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17:20 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | CHI Bears 3:9 MIN Vikings NFL | Chicago wins | Lost |