Kalshi · Football
malark is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 21 picks, 66.7% win rate, $346 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 58 have settled: 27 won, 31 lost, 46.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 38 | 38 | 20 | 52.6% |
| NFL | 11 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% |
| Premier League | 9 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| EFL Cup | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Conference League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
malark mainly predicts World Cup: 38 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 21 orders, P&L $346, ROI 67.4%. In World Cup, 20 of 38 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-17 20:32 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Team Over 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Tennessee Titans 3:26 Houston Texans NFL | Tennessee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Miami Dolphins 24:31 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Green Bay Packers 31:7 Chicago Bears NFL | Chicago wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Commanders 27:27 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers 34:22 Indianapolis Colts NFL | Indianapolis wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:2 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | Brighton wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | BUF -30.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Under 39.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 2:3 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) EFL Cup | Reg Time: Brighton wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 3:0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Brighton wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 3:0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | ARS -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Houston Texans 31:36 Buffalo Bills NFL | BUF -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 0:5 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | Brighton wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 4:3 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | BRI -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 4:3 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | Chelsea vs Brighton Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Tromsoe 0:0 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Conference League | Tromsoe vs Brighton Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco: 8+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3:3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Leandro Trossard: 3+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Belgium Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 3+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 1:3 Netherlands FIFA World Cup | NED -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 1:3 Netherlands FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia Winner | Lost |