Kalshi · Football
strict.spouse is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 38 picks, 60.5% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 55 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 54 have settled: 30 won, 24 lost, 55.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 41 | 41 | 24 | 58.5% |
| Champions League | 8 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| Bundesliga | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Premier League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
strict.spouse mainly predicts World Cup: 41 of the last 55 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.5% hit rate over 38 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 22.1%. In World Cup, 24 of 41 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-21 04:48 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Over 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 1:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt (Frankfurt) 1:0 1. FC Köln (FC Köln) Bundesliga | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Team Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:4 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Champions League | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | LASK Linz (LASK) 3:6 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Inter Milan (Inter) 3:4 Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) Champions League | Team Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Inter Milan (Inter) 3:4 Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) Champions League | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | BAL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Augsburg 2:2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Bundesliga | Team Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Los Angeles Sparks 82:86 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Over 174.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France: 6+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Germany 7:1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |