Kalshi · Football
thread.king is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 29 picks, 69.0% win rate, $7K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 28 won, 31 lost, 47.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 29 | 29 | 11 | 37.9% |
| Liga MX | 10 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |
| NCAAF | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| FIFA World Cup | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| NFL | 5 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Leagues Cup | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
thread.king mainly predicts MLB: 29 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.0% hit rate over 29 orders, P&L $7K, ROI 56.0%. In MLB, 11 of 29 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-19 02:32 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Atlanta Falcons 23:31 Chicago Bears NFL | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Atlanta Falcons 23:31 Chicago Bears NFL | CHI -10.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | Nebraska wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | Under 28.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | Under 25.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | BYU Cougars 28:24 Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAF | BYU wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Cleveland Guardians Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Tennessee 26:10 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | TENN -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Tennessee 26:10 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | Tennessee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Ashton Jeanty: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | NE -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Atlanta Braves 1:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Colorado Rockies 5:11 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD -8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Club Necaxa 1:2 Leon Liga MX | Necaxa vs Leon Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Chicago Cubs 7:5 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 2:1 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Cruz Azul Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 0:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | CD Guadalajara wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Houston Astros 2:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | America 3:0 San Luis Liga MX | Atletico San Luis wins 3-0 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | America 3:0 San Luis Liga MX | CF America wins 3-0 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Tampa Bay Rays 2:10 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:1 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | LAD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | CHC -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Atlanta Braves 5:8 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 0:1 Los Angeles FC Leagues Cup | Toluca vs Los Angeles F Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | San Diego Padres 3:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | SD -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | LAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Los Angeles Angels 4:6 Houston Astros MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Philadelphia Phillies 10:7 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | New York Yankees 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Pumas UNAM 0:3 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Pumas UNAM vs Pachuca Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | San Luis 2:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | San Luis vs Cruz Azul Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | New York Yankees 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Ousmane Dembele: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 3:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 3:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Club Necaxa 2:1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Necaxa vs Atlante Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 2:6 Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB | HOK -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France wins 3-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Washington 8:2 Houston MLB | Houston vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Tampa Bay 3:0 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Washington 3:6 Houston MLB | Houston vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 8:7 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |