Kalshi · Baseball
toproadrunner24 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 31 picks, 77.4% win rate, $985 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 40 won, 20 lost, 66.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 46 | 46 | 30 | 65.2% |
| WNBA | 9 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
| Mexico LNBP | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Philippines PBA | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| NBA Summer League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
toproadrunner24 mainly predicts MLB: 46 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 77.4% hit rate over 31 orders, P&L $985, ROI 18.3%. In MLB, 30 of 46 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-07 02:49 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Road Warriors Tropang 5G Philippines PBA | Tropang 5G vs Road Warriors men's Philippines PBA game: Road Warriors wins | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Chicago Sky 101:106 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Chicago women's Pro Basketball game: Chicago wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Chicago Sky 101:106 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Chicago women's Pro Basketball game: Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | San Diego Padres 5:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Seattle Mariners 7:6 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Seattle Mariners 7:6 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:9 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Astros de Jalisco Lobos de Puebla Mexico LNBP | Lobos de Puebla vs Astros de Jalisco: Astros de Jalisco wins | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Cincinnati Reds 3:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 2:1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 2:1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | St. Louis Cardinals 2:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Phoenix Mercury 91:89 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | San Diego Padres 3:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Miami Marlins 8:6 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Philadelphia Phillies 11:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Fuerza Regia 95:89 Soles de Mexicali Mexico LNBP | Soles de Mexicali vs Fuerza Regia: Fuerza Regia wins | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | San Francisco Giants 3:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Baltimore Orioles 2:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Detroit Tigers 4:5 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | New York Mets 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Baltimore Orioles 3:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Team Coop 122:129 Team Spoon WNBA | Team Spoon vs Team Coop: Team Spoon wins | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Baltimore Orioles 3:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Milwaukee Brewers 8:5 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Miami Marlins 2:7 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | San Francisco Giants 9:2 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Washington Nationals 5:3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Detroit Tigers 2:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Detroit Tigers 2:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Detroit Tigers 2:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Diablos Rojos Del Mexico 92:88 Panteras de Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP | Panteras de Aguascalientes vs Diablos Rojos Del Mexico: Diablos Rojos Del Mexico wins | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Texas Rangers 5:4 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | San Francisco Giants 7:6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Chicago WS 5:9 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:5 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:5 Colorado Rockies MLB | Under 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | St. Louis Cardinals 6:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | St. Louis Cardinals 6:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:1 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Cleveland Guardians 1:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Atlanta Braves 6:5 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Atlanta Braves 6:5 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | New York Liberty 95:94 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs New York winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Washington Mystics 100:99 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Washington winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Indiana Fever 123:88 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | New York Yankees 3:5 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Seattle Mariners 2:4 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Toronto Blue Jays 2:12 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Dallas Wings 98:99 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Dallas winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Cleveland Guardians 13:4 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Oklahoma 90:108 Brooklyn NBA Summer League | Brooklyn to win | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Dallas Wings 90:82 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Dallas winner | Won |