Kalshi · Basketball
watch.lamp is a WNBA pro on Kalshi: 142 picks, 76.8% win rate, $613 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 39 won, 21 lost, 65.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 38 | 38 | 26 | 68.4% |
| FIFA World Cup | 20 | 20 | 11 | 55.0% |
| Champions League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| UEFA Super Cup | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
watch.lamp mainly predicts WNBA: 38 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 76.8% hit rate over 142 orders, P&L $613, ROI 16.1%. In WNBA, 26 of 38 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-21 02:22 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Sabah Masazir 1:2 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Champions League | Dortmund wins | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 2:1 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) UEFA Super Cup | PSG vs Aston Villa Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Seattle Storm 102:105 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Seattle winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Golden State Valkyries 82:90 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington vs Golden State winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Toronto Tempo 83:109 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Phoenix Mercury 72:63 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Dallas Wings 90:82 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Dallas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Golden State Valkyries 74:69 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington vs Golden State winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Indiana Fever 108:88 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Indiana Fever 110:107 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Washington Mystics 56:75 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Washington winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 2-1 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota Lynx 96:87 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Minnesota winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota Lynx 96:87 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Minnesota winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Minnesota winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Minnesota winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Atlanta Dream 101:92 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Atlanta winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Las Vegas winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Dallas Wings 96:91 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Dallas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Washington Mystics 84:79 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Washington winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Connecticut Sun 64:79 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Connecticut winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Toronto Tempo 95:108 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Portland Fire 80:88 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Portland winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Phoenix Mercury 89:92 Indiana Fever WNBA | IND +12.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Atlanta Dream 89:78 Seattle Storm WNBA | ATL +19.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Atlanta Dream 89:78 Seattle Storm WNBA | ATL +22.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Atlanta Dream 89:78 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Atlanta winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Phoenix Mercury 89:92 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Los Angeles Sparks 106:92 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Los Angeles winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Toronto Tempo 75:83 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury 66:77 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury 66:77 Chicago Sky WNBA | CHI +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury 66:77 Chicago Sky WNBA | Under 181.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury 66:77 Chicago Sky WNBA | Under 184.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | New York Liberty 77:88 Dallas Wings WNBA | NY +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | New York Liberty 77:88 Dallas Wings WNBA | NY +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | New York Liberty 77:88 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs New York winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Minnesota Lynx 89:90 Connecticut Sun WNBA | MIN +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Minnesota Lynx 89:90 Connecticut Sun WNBA | MIN +12.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Minnesota Lynx 89:90 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Minnesota winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Minnesota Lynx 89:90 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Minnesota winner | Won |