Nations League ·
Romania vs Poland prediction for 15 Nov 2026, 03:45 SGT (Nations League): 20 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 67% backing Poland to win. Prediction-market win probability: Romania 23%, the draw 24%, Poland 52% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Romania 23% · Draw 24% · Poland 52% (updated )
Poland is the prediction-market favourite at 52% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-14 16:02 UTC+8). Of 15 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 10 (67%) back Poland to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 51% of 2323 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-14 16:02 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Romania 23% · Draw 24% · Poland 52%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
20 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Romania 4 (27%) · Draw 1 (7%) · Poland 10 (67%).
Romania, last 5: L L L L W. Poland, last 5: L W L D D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-14 16:02 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
20 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Romania to win 4 (27%) · the draw 1 (7%) · Poland to win 10 (67%).
| 2026-10-06 | vs Sweden | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Poland | 0:6 | L |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2:4 | L |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Sweden | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-06-07 | vs Wales | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | vs Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Romania | 6:0 | W |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Sweden | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-06-04 | vs Nigeria | 2:2 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | hedgevaultmainnet1 Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | hedgevaultmainnet1 Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | 0x24e1…5ad3 Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | hedgevaultmainnet1 Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | 0x7e06…362c Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | capitalpiston2 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | capitalpiston2 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Cachetinho Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | capitalpiston2 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | hydra1248 Polymarket | Romania vs Poland O/U 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | sbel Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Khalilayyoobi Kalshi | Poland wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Pallandi Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Ecasas Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Drexxor Polymarket | Romania vs Poland O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Romania vs Poland O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Mati07 Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | excess.wagtail6764 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | capitalpiston2 Polymarket | Romania to win | Won |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | capitalpiston2 Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | 0x4f75…0250 Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | GC-P Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | k-maniac Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | jag26969 Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | GC-P Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | GC-P Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | GC-P Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | GC-P Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | GC-P Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | capitalpiston2 Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | capitalpiston2 Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Incomplete-Adoption-Icy Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | 0xa95a…5acb Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | playmonies Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | defensive.puppy8786 Kalshi | Poland wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Nati1997 Polymarket | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Cachetinho Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | GC-U Polymarket | Romania to win | Pending |