Kalshi · Football
excess.wagtail6764 is a Premier League pro on Kalshi: 48 picks, 62.8% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 57 have settled: 20 won, 37 lost, 35.1% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 10 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% |
| Eredivisie | 9 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| MLS | 9 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| Nations League | 6 | 4 | 0 | — |
| La Liga | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| Liga MX | 5 | 4 | 4 | — |
excess.wagtail6764 mainly predicts Premier League: 10 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.8% hit rate over 48 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 57.1%. In Premier League, 3 of 10 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-11-15 13:19 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWLLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | Belgium wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | Spain wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 0:1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | MON -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 0:1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Monterrey wins | Won |
| 2026-11-14 | Romania men's national association football team (Romania) 2:1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 3:2 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 1:0 Ireland Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Netherlands 7:0 Greece men's national football team (Greece) Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-11 | Sheffield Wednesday F.C. (Sheffield Wednesday FC) 0:4 Accrington Stanley F.C. (Accrington) EFL Trophy | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-11 | Sheffield Wednesday F.C. (Sheffield Wednesday FC) 0:4 Accrington Stanley F.C. (Accrington) EFL Trophy | Sheffield Wednesday wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-09 | Leon 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-11-08 | Atlético Madrid (Atletico) 1:2 FC Barcelona La Liga | Atletico wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-08 | Atlético Madrid (Atletico) 1:2 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-11-08 | Inter Milan (Inter) 2:0 Como 1907 Serie A | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-11-08 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 1:0 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Sunderland wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-08 | Enschede 2:2 AFC Ajax Eredivisie | Ajax wins | Won |
| 2026-11-08 | Enschede 2:2 AFC Ajax Eredivisie | Enschede wins | Won |
| 2026-11-08 | Pumas UNAM 2:2 America Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-11-08 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 2:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Cruz Azul wins | Won |
| 2026-11-07 | FC Dallas 3:1 Colorado MLS | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-07 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 2:1 LA Galaxy MLS | Salt Lake wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-07 | San Diego FC 0:1 Kansas City MLS | San Diego FC wins | Won |
| 2026-11-07 | FC Cincinnati 0:2 Nashville SC MLS | Nashville wins | Won |
| 2026-11-07 | AS Roma 3:0 US Sassuolo Calcio Serie A | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-07 | AS Roma 3:0 US Sassuolo Calcio Serie A | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-11-07 | Den Haag 3:1 Sparta Rotterdam (Sparta) Eredivisie | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-07 | Paris Saint Germain 1:0 ES Troyes AC (Troyes) Ligue 1 | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-11-07 | Paris Saint Germain 1:0 ES Troyes AC (Troyes) Ligue 1 | PSG -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-07 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 3:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-07 | Den Haag 3:1 Sparta Rotterdam (Sparta) Eredivisie | Sparta wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-07 | Sittard 2:2 SC Telstar (Telstar 1963) Eredivisie | Sittard wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-07 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 1:0 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | Final score Arsenal FC wins 1-0 | Won |
| 2026-11-07 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Fulham wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-07 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 1:0 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-07 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 1:0 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) Premier League | Tottenham wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-06 | Sevilla FC 0:0 Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) La Liga | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-11-05 | FC Midtjylland 1:6 AFC Ajax Conference League | AJA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-05 | FC Midtjylland 1:6 AFC Ajax Conference League | Ajax wins | Won |
| 2026-11-05 | AZ Alkmaar (Alkmaar) 1:2 Juventus FC Europa League | Juventus wins | Won |
| 2026-11-03 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 3:2 AS Roma Champions League | Roma wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Los Angeles FC 1:3 Minnesota MLS | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | New England 1:2 Inter Miami CF MLS | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | New England 1:2 Inter Miami CF MLS | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Nashville SC 3:2 Red Bull New York (New York RB) MLS | New York RB wins | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Bilbao 2:1 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Sociedad wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Detroit Lions 19:15 Minnesota Vikings NFL | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Elche CF 0:1 Valencia La Liga | Elche wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Detroit Lions 19:15 Minnesota Vikings NFL | 1H Under 17.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Detroit Lions 19:15 Minnesota Vikings NFL | DET +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Liverpool wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | SC Cambuur (Cambuur) 4:0 GA Eagles Eredivisie | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Bundesliga | BMU -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | AFC Ajax 1:0 AZ Alkmaar (Alkmaar) Eredivisie | Ajax wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Charlotte FC 4:0 Orlando MLS | Charlotte wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Bundesliga | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) 1:1 Sittard Eredivisie | Feyenoord wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 0:1 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) 1:1 Sittard Eredivisie | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Chelsea wins | Won |