LoL Worlds 2026 · VALORANT Champions 2026 · MLB Postseason
Brasileiro Serie A ·
Palmeiras SP vs Bahia prediction for 9 Oct 2026, 08:30 SGT (Brasileiro Serie A): 46 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 92% backing Palmeiras SP to win. Prediction-market win probability: Palmeiras SP 63%, the draw 22%, Bahia 17% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Palmeiras SP 63% · Draw 22% · Bahia 17% (updated )
Palmeiras SP is the prediction-market favourite at 63% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 08:34 UTC+8). Of 13 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 12 (92%) back Palmeiras SP to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 58% of 1776 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 08:34 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Palmeiras SP 63% · Draw 22% · Bahia 17%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
46 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Palmeiras SP 12 (92%) · Draw 1 (8%) · Bahia 0 (0%).
Palmeiras SP, last 5: D L W W D. Bahia, last 5: L W W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 08:34 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
46 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Palmeiras SP to win 12 (92%) · the draw 1 (8%) · Bahia to win 0 (0%).
| 2026-09-20 | vs Gremio | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-17 | vs LDU Quito | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Sao Paulo | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-10 | vs LDU Quito | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-07 | vs Botafogo FC | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Paranaense | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-15 | vs Remo | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Bragantino | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-08-31 | vs SC Internacional | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-08-24 | vs Vitoria | 2:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | emacron Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | emacron Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | emacron Polymarket | corners 10.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | emacron Polymarket | corners 10.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | alligatorr Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | hedgevaultmainnet1 Polymarket | EC Bahia -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | doglover4571 Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | doglover4571 Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | emacron Polymarket | corners 10.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | TheRomanProcurator Polymarket | SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia O/U 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | emacron Polymarket | SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | emacron Polymarket | SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | hedgevaultmainnet1 Polymarket | EC Bahia -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | hedgevaultmainnet1 Polymarket | EC Bahia -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | miao124 Polymarket | EC Bahia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | emacron Polymarket | corners 10.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | emacron Polymarket | SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | Unlucky-Begonia Polymarket | corners 10.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | Dr.Zing Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | Potable-Shoat Polymarket | EC Bahia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | superDG Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | Dapor Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | suntori Polymarket | EC Bahia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | emacron Polymarket | SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | coherent.dalmatian7604 Kalshi | Palmeiras wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Lobsterrobert Kalshi | Palmeiras wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | PII13 Kalshi | 1H Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | kiki17 Kalshi | 1H Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | super.orangutan1407 Kalshi | Palmeiras wins 1st Half | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | careful.swordfish0378 Kalshi | Palmeiras wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Unlucky-Begonia Polymarket | corners 10.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Unlucky-Begonia Polymarket | corners 10.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | hedgevaultmainnet1 Polymarket | EC Bahia -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | luowei232323 Polymarket | exact score 1 - 0 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | mulpodsa85 Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | injured.salamander5322 Kalshi | 1H Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Unlucky-Begonia Polymarket | corners 10.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | hedgevaultmainnet1 Polymarket | EC Bahia -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | emacron Polymarket | corners 10.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | emacron Polymarket | corners 9.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | emacron Polymarket | corners 9.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | payamr1143 Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | 0xc055…336c Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | sbsigner Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | miao124 Polymarket | EC Bahia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | TheRomanProcurator Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Ecasas Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | nixon97 Kalshi | Under 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | flacohanibal45251 Kalshi | Palmeiras wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | emacron Polymarket | corners 9.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Anderz Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | emacron Polymarket | corners 10.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Flaznorp Polymarket | SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Flaznorp Polymarket | SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | MiaTorres1989 Kalshi | Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | cycloid Kalshi | Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | mulpodsa85 Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | AndrianoLamo Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | 3344sats Polymarket | SE Palmeiras to win | Pending |