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PSG vs Le Mans FC prediction for 11 Oct 2026, 02:45 SGT (Ligue 1). Prediction-market win probability: PSG 91%, the draw 6%, Le Mans FC 4% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: PSG 91% · Draw 6% · Le Mans FC 4% (updated )
PSG is the prediction-market favourite at 91% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-09 13:46 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 66% of 1320 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 13:46 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: PSG 91% · Draw 6% · Le Mans FC 4%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
PSG, last 5: W W W L D. Le Mans FC, last 5: W W D D D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 13:46 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-21 | vs Marseille | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Stade Brest 29 | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-10 | vs ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 6:1 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs AS Monaco FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Lille | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-26 | vs FC Nantes | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs FC Lorient | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Lens | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Racing Club de Lens | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Nice | 1:1 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | saulgoedman Kalshi | Le Mans wins | Pending |