UEFA Nations League ·
France vs Italy result (1-1) on 3 Oct 2026 (UEFA Nations League): 562 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 68% backing France to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: France 1-1 Italy (2026-10-03). Before the result, 68% of 362 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed France to win — that call was wrong.
562 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: France 247 (68%) · Draw 64 (18%) · Italy 51 (14%).
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 06:08 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
562 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: France to win 247 (68%) · the draw 64 (18%) · Italy to win 51 (14%).
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Triple777 Polymarket | France to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Triple777 Polymarket | France to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Ribalovvv Polymarket | France to win | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Ribalovvv Polymarket | France to win | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | ItsHosseinooo Polymarket | France to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | ulos Polymarket | France to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | ItsHosseinooo Polymarket | France to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | ulos Polymarket | France to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | qfwdsd1 Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | qfwdsd1 Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | qfwdsd1 Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | 93CentGrinder Polymarket | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | notbroken Polymarket | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | VD721lsj4938Dk388 Polymarket | Italy to win | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | CRYPT1C Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | CRYPT1C Polymarket | exact score 1 - 0 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | chux.cc Polymarket | Italy to win | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | JvyTfGPfAUCN73kQ Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | JvyTfGPfAUCN73kQ Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | chizidahu Polymarket | France -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Corny-Quartet Polymarket | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | thparvej24 Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | retarb Polymarket | France to win | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Enraged-Youth Polymarket | Italy -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Enraged-Youth Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | ForMyFamily1 Polymarket | exact score 1 - 3 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Veetu1234 Polymarket | France -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Veetu1234 Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | pauleta23 Polymarket | France to win | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | pauleta23 Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | pauleta23 Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | pauleta23 Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | nemesis18 Polymarket | France -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | 0x812c…b81f Polymarket | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | 0x812c…b81f Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | sumsum84 Polymarket | Désiré Doué: Anytime Goalscorer | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | sumsum84 Polymarket | Ousmane Dembélé: Anytime Goalscorer | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Halftime · France leading | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France to win | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Italy to win | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | exact score 0 - 3 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | exact score 1 - 1 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | exact score 2 - 1 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | draw at halftime | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France -3.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Tragic-Gaffe Polymarket | France to win | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | chuzihang02 Polymarket | France vs Italy O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | hahaup Polymarket | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | acorp Polymarket | France to win | Won |