LaLiga 2 ·
UD Las Palmas vs Valladolid prediction for 5 Oct 2026, 00:30 SGT (LaLiga 2). Prediction-market win probability: UD Las Palmas 43%, the draw 29%, Valladolid 29% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: UD Las Palmas 43% · Draw 29% · Valladolid 29% (updated )
UD Las Palmas is the prediction-market favourite at 43% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-04 11:21 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1982 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-04 11:21 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: UD Las Palmas 43% · Draw 29% · Valladolid 29%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
UD Las Palmas, last 5: L L W D L. Valladolid, last 5: W D L W D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 11:21 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-27 | vs Eibar | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Burgos CF | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Cádiz CF | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Leganes | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Girona FC | 2-5 | L |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Cordoba CF | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Ceuta | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Oviedo | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Andorra | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-08-31 | vs Cádiz CF | 1-1 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | emacron Polymarket | UD Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid CF O/U 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | LPA -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | LPA -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | jorgeadrian Polymarket | Real Valladolid CF to win | Pending |