Fifa Friendly ·
Morocco vs Mali prediction for 5 Oct 2026, 02:00 SGT (Fifa Friendly): 28 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 94% backing Morocco to win. Prediction-market win probability: Morocco 89%, the draw 11%, Mali 1% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Morocco 89% · Draw 11% · Mali 1% (updated )
Morocco is the prediction-market favourite at 89% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-05 03:30 UTC+8). Of 17 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 16 (94%) back Morocco to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 65% of 1206 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-05 03:30 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Morocco 89% · Draw 11% · Mali 1%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
28 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Morocco 16 (94%) · Draw 1 (6%) · Mali 0 (0%).
Morocco, last 5: W W L W D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-05 03:30 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
28 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Morocco to win 16 (94%) · the draw 1 (6%) · Mali to win 0 (0%).
| 2026-09-29 | vs Lesotho | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Gabon | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-07-10 | vs France | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-07-05 | vs Canada | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-06-30 | vs Netherlands | 1-1 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | obvious.cicada9484 Kalshi | Both Teams To Score | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | acted595 Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | fascinating.platypus0611 Kalshi | MAR -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | cuddly.boar9306 Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | grand.gull4044 Kalshi | MAR -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | cuddly.boar9306 Kalshi | Both Teams To Score | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | cuddly.boar9306 Kalshi | Morocco wins 1st Half | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | kevooo98 Kalshi | 1H Over 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | delightful.dove0879 Kalshi | 1H Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | reluctant.falcon3591 Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | grand.gull4044 Kalshi | Both Teams To Score | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | grand.gull4044 Kalshi | 1H Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | MrPompasticLoverShagy33.3 Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | charming.beetle1018 Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | santhu Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | SadickTrust Kalshi | Morocco wins 1st Half | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | symbolic.marten8867 Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | injured.salamander5322 Kalshi | Over 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | initial.grouse8219 Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | nice.hawk8571 Kalshi | Over 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | rare.leopard3835 Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | polite.wolverine9579 Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | blahoick Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | super.orangutan1407 Kalshi | Morocco wins 1st Half | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | polite.wolverine9579 Kalshi | Over 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | injured.salamander5322 Kalshi | 1H Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | bottom.sloth1030 Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | wpfenix Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | quixotic.trout6043 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | cristhian.fonseca1996 Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Jagfoo11 Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | legal.swift2609 Kalshi | Mali wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | guccijellyfish Kalshi | Morocco wins 1st Half | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | polite.wolverine9579 Kalshi | MAR -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | polite.wolverine9579 Kalshi | Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | interim.flamingo7376 Kalshi | Over 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | ailadiCJ Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | old.ladybug5849 Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Khalilayyoobi Kalshi | Morocco wins | Pending |