Kalshi · Football
reluctant.falcon3591 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 39 picks, 76.9% win rate, $526 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 34 won, 26 lost, 56.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 21 | 21 | 14 | 66.7% |
| Intl Friendlies | 14 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Nations League | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| NFL | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| NCAAF | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
reluctant.falcon3591 mainly predicts MLB: 21 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 76.9% hit rate over 39 orders, P&L $526, ROI 48.7%. In MLB, 14 of 21 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-07 17:05 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Atlanta Braves 1:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | San Diego Padres 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Atlanta Braves 1:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | Chile wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | Mexico wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | San Diego Padres 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) Intl Friendlies | Korea Republic wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) 1:1 Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Atlanta Braves 1:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | TB -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) 1:1 Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) CONCACAF Nations League | Honduras wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | TB -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | USA 1:0 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | France 4:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | France 4:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Mauritius 2:3 Sri Lanka Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cleveland Guardians 3:4 Chicago White Sox MLB | CLE -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cleveland Guardians 3:4 Chicago White Sox MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Nicaragua men's national football team (Nicaragua) 1:2 Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Nicaragua men's national football team (Nicaragua) 1:2 Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) CONCACAF Nations League | Dominican Republic wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Costa Rica 2:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) CONCACAF Nations League | Costa Rica wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 San Diego Padres MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 0:0 Germany Nations League | Germany wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 1:1 Mali men's national basketball team (Mali) Intl Friendlies | Morocco wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Vanraure Hachinohe 0:2 Yokohama Japan J2 League | Yokohama wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | CD Recoleta 1:2 Club Libertad (Libertad) APF Division de Honor | Libertad wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Colorado Buffaloes 7:29 Texas Tech Red Raiders NCAAF | Colorado wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Paysandu Sport Club (Paysandu) 1:0 Ferroviaria Brasileiro Serie C | Paysandu wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 New York Yankees MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Atlético Tucumán (Atletico Tucuman) 2:3 Barracas Argentina Primera Division | Tucuman wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | South Carolina Gamecocks 34:35 Kentucky Wildcats NCAAF | South Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | LAD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Cleveland Guardians 0:3 Chicago White Sox MLB | CWS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 0:1 Cameroon men's national basketball team (Cameroon) Intl Friendlies | Ivory Coast wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 2:0 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | CAN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 2:0 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | Canada wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Cádiz Club de Fútbol (Cádiz CF) 4:0 Leganes La Liga 2 | Cadiz wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Inter Toronto FC 3:1 Cavalry FC Canadian Premier League | Inter Toronto wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Cleveland Guardians 0:3 Chicago White Sox MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 0:7 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | Mexico wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Intl Friendlies | Colombia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Ferro Carril Oeste 0:2 Madryn Argentine Nacional B | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Sao Paulo 1:2 Santos F.C. (Santos FC) Brasileiro Serie A | Santos wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Suriname 0:0 Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) CONCACAF Nations League | Suriname wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | France wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 0:0 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Intl Friendlies | Korea Republic wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | America 0:0 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Club Friendlies | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Atlanta Braves 6:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | ATL -1.5 | Won |