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Scottish Premiership ·
Heart of Midlothian FC vs St Mirren FC prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 22:00 SGT (Scottish Premiership). Prediction-market win probability: Heart of Midlothian FC 68%, the draw 20%, St Mirren FC 15% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Heart of Midlothian FC 68% · Draw 20% · St Mirren FC 15% (updated )
Heart of Midlothian FC is the prediction-market favourite at 68% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 22:02 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 58% of 1804 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 22:02 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Heart of Midlothian FC 68% · Draw 20% · St Mirren FC 15%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Heart of Midlothian FC, last 5: D L W W W. St Mirren FC, last 5: L L L W D. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Heart of Midlothian FC wins – draws – St Mirren FC wins): 1-0-1; latest 2026-02-04: St Mirren FC 1:0 Heart of Midlothian FC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 22:02 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-19 | vs Kilmarnock FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Falkirk FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Stenhousemuir FC | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Dundee FC | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-04 | vs Hibernian FC | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Dundee United FC | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Rangers FC | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Celtic FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-03 | vs Kilmarnock FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Motherwell FC | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-02-04 | St Mirren FC | 1:0 | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2026-01-15 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 2:0 | St Mirren FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | jorgeadrian Polymarket | St Mirren FC to win | Pending |