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Chicago Fire FC vs New York City FC prediction for 11 Oct 2026, 02:30 SGT (MLS). Prediction-market win probability: Chicago Fire FC 54%, the draw 24%, New York City FC 24% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Chicago Fire FC 54% · Draw 24% · New York City FC 24% (updated )
Chicago Fire FC is the prediction-market favourite at 54% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 08:35 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 53% of 1620 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 08:35 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Chicago Fire FC 54% · Draw 24% · New York City FC 24%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Chicago Fire FC, last 5: W W L L D. New York City FC, last 5: D L W L D. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Chicago Fire FC wins – draws – New York City FC wins): 0-0-2; latest 2026-07-26: New York City FC 3:1 Chicago Fire FC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 08:35 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-07 | vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Charlotte FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Nashville SC | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-09-14 | vs New England Revolution | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Inter Miami CF | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Atlanta United FC | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs New York Red Bulls | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Real Salt Lake | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-10 | vs New England Revolution | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Nashville SC | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-07-26 | New York City FC | 3:1 | Chicago Fire FC |
| 2025-09-14 | Chicago Fire FC | 1:3 | New York City FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | jomag Polymarket | Chicago Fire FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing Polymarket | Chicago Fire FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Chicago Fire FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Chicago Fire FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | WatchTheTape Polymarket | Chicago Fire FC to win | Pending |