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Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox prediction for 11 Oct 2026, 08:00 SGT (MLB): 23 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 53% backing Chicago White Sox to win. Prediction-market win probability: Cleveland Guardians 56%, Chicago White Sox 44% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Cleveland Guardians 56% · Chicago White Sox 44% (updated )
Cleveland Guardians is the prediction-market favourite at 56% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-10 21:14 UTC+8). Of 19 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 10 (53%) back Chicago White Sox to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 53% of 1650 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-10 21:14 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Cleveland Guardians 56% · Chicago White Sox 44%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
23 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Cleveland Guardians 9 (47%) · Chicago White Sox 10 (53%).
Cleveland Guardians, last 5: W W L L L. Chicago White Sox, last 5: L L W W W. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (Cleveland Guardians wins – draws – Chicago White Sox wins): 3-0-2; latest 2026-10-09: Chicago White Sox 5:9 Cleveland Guardians.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-10 21:14 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
23 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Cleveland Guardians to win 9 (47%) · Chicago White Sox to win 10 (53%).
| 2026-10-09 | vs Chicago White Sox | 9:5 | W |
| 2026-10-08 | vs Chicago White Sox | 9:3 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | vs Chicago White Sox | 3:4 | L |
| 2026-10-04 | vs Chicago White Sox | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Kansas City Royals | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-10-09 | vs Cleveland Guardians | 5:9 | L |
| 2026-10-08 | vs Cleveland Guardians | 3:9 | L |
| 2026-10-06 | vs Cleveland Guardians | 4:3 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | vs Cleveland Guardians | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-10-01 | vs Houston Astros | 7:3 | W |
| 2026-10-09 | Chicago White Sox | 5:9 | Cleveland Guardians |
| 2026-10-08 | Chicago White Sox | 3:9 | Cleveland Guardians |
| 2026-10-06 | Cleveland Guardians | 3:4 | Chicago White Sox |
| 2026-10-04 | Cleveland Guardians | 0:3 | Chicago White Sox |
| 2026-09-17 | Cleveland Guardians | 6:3 | Chicago White Sox |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | smithklinton Kalshi | CWS +3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | cuna Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | ThebigBackWolf Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | world.steel Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | tayprofits Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | snguyen626 Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | demigod0319 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | remster32 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | french.dot Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | BetswithBJ Kalshi | CWS -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | baylorlocks Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | Murc99 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | track.sir Kalshi | CLE -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | liltweak Kalshi | CLE -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | pena4545 Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | zbrubsie Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | drum.strain Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | minsk1 Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | james.lancaster Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | lydia0507 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | Draco.ltc Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | JZ2588 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | ynger Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |