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FC Lorient vs AS Monaco FC prediction for 18 Oct 2026, 23:15 SGT (Ligue 1): 7 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 71% backing AS Monaco FC to win. Prediction-market win probability: FC Lorient 25%, the draw 28%, AS Monaco FC 46% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: FC Lorient 25% · Draw 28% · AS Monaco FC 46% (updated )
AS Monaco FC is the prediction-market favourite at 46% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-16 18:17 UTC+8). Of 7 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 5 (71%) back AS Monaco FC to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1503 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-16 18:17 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: FC Lorient 25% · Draw 28% · AS Monaco FC 46%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
7 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: FC Lorient 1 (14%) · Draw 1 (14%) · AS Monaco FC 5 (71%).
FC Lorient, last 5: W L D W L. AS Monaco FC, last 5: W D W D W. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (FC Lorient wins – draws – AS Monaco FC wins): 2-0-0; latest 2026-01-17: AS Monaco FC 1:3 FC Lorient.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-16 18:17 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
7 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: FC Lorient to win 1 (14%) · the draw 1 (14%) · AS Monaco FC to win 5 (71%).
| 2026-10-11 | vs Paris FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Le Mans FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Toulouse FC | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Racing Club de Lens | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | vs ES Troyes AC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | vs PFK CSKA Sofia | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Toulouse FC | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Racing Club de Lens | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs RC Strasbourg Alsace | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-01-17 | AS Monaco FC | 1:3 | FC Lorient |
| 2025-09-27 | FC Lorient | 3:1 | AS Monaco FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | wrong.half Kalshi | Monaco wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Thankful-Rostrum-Gig Polymarket | AS Monaco FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Metodo.Classico Polymarket | AS Monaco FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | ZLYU Polymarket | AS Monaco FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | Kinda12 Polymarket | AS Monaco FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | dacthenuac Polymarket | AS Monaco FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | Flaznorp Polymarket | AS Monaco FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | FC Lorient to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | Flaznorp Polymarket | FC Lorient to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | AS Monaco FC to win | Pending |