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Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC Prediction – 24 Oct 2026, 19:30

Premier League ·

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC prediction for 24 Oct 2026, 19:30 SGT (Premier League): 31 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 83% backing Manchester City FC to win. Prediction-market win probability: Aston Villa FC 19%, the draw 21%, Manchester City FC 59% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.

Latest Polymarket chances: Aston Villa FC 19% · Draw 21% · Manchester City FC 59% (updated )

Quick answers

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC prediction: who will win?

Manchester City FC is the prediction-market favourite at 59% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-23 05:23 UTC+8). Of 23 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 19 (83%) back Manchester City FC to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 54% of 1765 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.

What are the win chances for Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC?

As of 2026-10-23 05:23 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Aston Villa FC 19% · Draw 21% · Manchester City FC 59%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.

Who are profitable pros picking in Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC?

31 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Aston Villa FC 3 (13%) · Draw 1 (4%) · Manchester City FC 19 (83%).

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC: recent form and head-to-head?

Aston Villa FC, last 5: W W W D W. Manchester City FC, last 5: W W L W W. Head-to-head, last 4 meetings (Aston Villa FC wins – draws – Manchester City FC wins): 3-0-1; latest 2026-05-24: Manchester City FC 1:2 Aston Villa FC.

Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-23 05:23 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology

What profitable pros picked

31 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Aston Villa FC to win 3 (13%) · the draw 1 (4%) · Manchester City FC to win 19 (83%).

Recent form

Aston Villa FC

2026-10-22vs Viking FK3:1W
2026-10-17vs Newcastle United FC1:0W
2026-10-15vs Fenerbahçe SK6:0W
2026-10-10vs Brentford FC2:2D
2026-09-19vs Tottenham Hotspur FC3:2W

Manchester City FC

2026-10-21vs AEK5:1W
2026-10-17vs Ipswich Town FC3:2W
2026-10-15vs Paris Saint-Germain FC2:4L
2026-10-11vs Liverpool FC3:0W
2026-09-20vs Sunderland AFC5:3W

Head-to-head

2026-05-24Manchester City FC1:2Aston Villa FC
2025-10-26Aston Villa FC1:0Manchester City FC
2025-04-23Manchester City FC2:1Aston Villa FC
2024-12-21Aston Villa FC2:1Manchester City FC

61 pros predicted

DateMatchPickResult
2026-10-23stefan168
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-23Cannae
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-23SnakeBall
Polymarket
exact score 1 - 4Pending
2026-10-22Serega38
Polymarket
Aston Villa FC to winPending
2026-10-22SnakeBall
Polymarket
Aston Villa FC -1.5 spreadPending
2026-10-22stefan168
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22ZetaKappaEpsilon
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22deep.bird
Kalshi
Manchester City winsPending
2026-10-22CaptMrv
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22darkumbreon88
Polymarket
drawPending
2026-10-22KOGamble6273
Polymarket
drawPending
2026-10-22Serega38
Polymarket
Aston Villa FC to winPending
2026-10-22anonymous.gull7007
Kalshi
Manchester City winsPending
2026-10-22pjotrekkk
Polymarket
drawPending
2026-10-22750S
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22ameisgoat11
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22Rawdy
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22KOGamble6273
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22jomag
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22jomag
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22jomag
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22sugerdaddy
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22jomag
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22Cannae
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22Cannae
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22jotun
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22Cannae
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22Cannae
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22Cannae
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22Cannae
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22Cannae
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22jomag
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22Ericksson
Kalshi
Manchester City winsPending
2026-10-22SnakeBall
Polymarket
exact score 1 - 3Pending
2026-10-22NaeNae24
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-22justanogdataguy
Polymarket
Aston Villa FC to winPending
2026-10-21prospective.wasp3861
Kalshi
Manchester City winsPending
2026-10-21Ramiarna
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-21PartyKev
Kalshi
Manchester City winsPending
2026-10-21jotun
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-21jomag
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-210x7d3b…55b8
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-21justanogdataguy
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-21Bobo1976
Kalshi
Both Teams To ScorePending
2026-10-21ruling.ibis1408
Kalshi
Manchester City winsPending
2026-10-21lbtrading
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-21rayvanmechelen
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-21Knowing-Narrative
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-210x3270…e8b9
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-21IvanTuzin
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-21ferdinand2
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-21pjotrekkk
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-21ferdinand2
Polymarket
Aston Villa FC to winPending
2026-10-21EF717
Polymarket
Aston Villa FC to winPending
2026-10-21hortikkk
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-210x115a…a826
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-20buddyboyo
Polymarket
Manchester City FC to winPending
2026-10-19clb-q
Polymarket
Aston Villa FC to winPending
2026-10-19SnakeBall
Polymarket
Manchester City FC -1.5 spreadPending
See the full record on Tips

Teams

Aston Villa F.C.Manchester City F.C.

League

Premier League

Most accurate pros

StasPandaSerega38stefan168CannaeElastic-TanktopTender-Sombrerojotun

See the full data on Tips