Premier League ·
Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC prediction for 24 Oct 2026, 19:30 SGT (Premier League): 31 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 83% backing Manchester City FC to win. Prediction-market win probability: Aston Villa FC 19%, the draw 21%, Manchester City FC 59% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Aston Villa FC 19% · Draw 21% · Manchester City FC 59% (updated )
Manchester City FC is the prediction-market favourite at 59% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-23 05:23 UTC+8). Of 23 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 19 (83%) back Manchester City FC to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 54% of 1765 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-23 05:23 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Aston Villa FC 19% · Draw 21% · Manchester City FC 59%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
31 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Aston Villa FC 3 (13%) · Draw 1 (4%) · Manchester City FC 19 (83%).
Aston Villa FC, last 5: W W W D W. Manchester City FC, last 5: W W L W W. Head-to-head, last 4 meetings (Aston Villa FC wins – draws – Manchester City FC wins): 3-0-1; latest 2026-05-24: Manchester City FC 1:2 Aston Villa FC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-23 05:23 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
31 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Aston Villa FC to win 3 (13%) · the draw 1 (4%) · Manchester City FC to win 19 (83%).
| 2026-10-22 | vs Viking FK | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Newcastle United FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Fenerbahçe SK | 6:0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Brentford FC | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Tottenham Hotspur FC | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-10-21 | vs AEK | 5:1 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Ipswich Town FC | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 2:4 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Liverpool FC | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Sunderland AFC | 5:3 | W |
| 2026-05-24 | Manchester City FC | 1:2 | Aston Villa FC |
| 2025-10-26 | Aston Villa FC | 1:0 | Manchester City FC |
| 2025-04-23 | Manchester City FC | 2:1 | Aston Villa FC |
| 2024-12-21 | Aston Villa FC | 2:1 | Manchester City FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | stefan168 Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | Cannae Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | SnakeBall Polymarket | exact score 1 - 4 | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Serega38 Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | SnakeBall Polymarket | Aston Villa FC -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | stefan168 Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | ZetaKappaEpsilon Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | deep.bird Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | CaptMrv Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | darkumbreon88 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | KOGamble6273 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Serega38 Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | anonymous.gull7007 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | 750S Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | ameisgoat11 Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Rawdy Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | KOGamble6273 Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | jomag Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | jomag Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | jomag Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | sugerdaddy Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | jomag Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Cannae Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Cannae Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | jotun Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Cannae Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Cannae Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Cannae Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Cannae Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Cannae Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | jomag Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Ericksson Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | SnakeBall Polymarket | exact score 1 - 3 | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | NaeNae24 Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | justanogdataguy Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | prospective.wasp3861 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | Ramiarna Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | PartyKev Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | jotun Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | jomag Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | 0x7d3b…55b8 Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | justanogdataguy Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | Bobo1976 Kalshi | Both Teams To Score | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | ruling.ibis1408 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | lbtrading Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | rayvanmechelen Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | Knowing-Narrative Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | 0x3270…e8b9 Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | IvanTuzin Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | EF717 Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | hortikkk Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | 0x115a…a826 Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-20 | buddyboyo Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | clb-q Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | SnakeBall Polymarket | Manchester City FC -1.5 spread | Pending |