Premier League ·
Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC prediction for 24 Oct 2026, 19:30 SGT (Premier League): 47 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 85% backing Manchester City FC to win. Prediction-market win probability: Aston Villa FC 18%, the draw 21%, Manchester City FC 60% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Aston Villa FC 18% · Draw 21% · Manchester City FC 60% (updated )
Manchester City FC is the prediction-market favourite at 60% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-23 18:59 UTC+8). Of 34 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 29 (85%) back Manchester City FC to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 66% of 2276 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-23 18:59 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Aston Villa FC 18% · Draw 21% · Manchester City FC 60%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
47 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Aston Villa FC 4 (12%) · Draw 1 (3%) · Manchester City FC 29 (85%).
Aston Villa FC, last 5: W W W D W. Manchester City FC, last 5: W W L W W. Head-to-head, last 4 meetings (Aston Villa FC wins – draws – Manchester City FC wins): 3-0-1; latest 2026-05-24: Manchester City FC 1:2 Aston Villa FC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-23 18:59 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
47 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Aston Villa FC to win 4 (12%) · the draw 1 (3%) · Manchester City FC to win 29 (85%).
| 2026-10-22 | vs Viking FK | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Newcastle United FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Fenerbahçe SK | 6:0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Brentford FC | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Tottenham Hotspur FC | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-10-21 | vs AEK | 5:1 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Ipswich Town FC | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 2:4 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Liverpool FC | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Sunderland AFC | 5:3 | W |
| 2026-05-24 | Manchester City FC | 1:2 | Aston Villa FC |
| 2025-10-26 | Aston Villa FC | 1:0 | Manchester City FC |
| 2025-04-23 | Manchester City FC | 2:1 | Aston Villa FC |
| 2024-12-21 | Aston Villa FC | 2:1 | Manchester City FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Cannae Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | Cannae Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | Wristony Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | Cannae Polymarket | Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | SnakeBall Polymarket | exact score 1 - 2 | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | SnakeBall Polymarket | exact score 1 - 2 | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | SnakeBall Polymarket | exact score 2 - 1 | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | SnakeBall Polymarket | exact score 2 - 1 | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | CiseaouxPride Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | Cannae Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | omthelad Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | symbolic.marten8867 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | Soupy-Perfume Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | 0xd50b…d9a9 Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sad.birth Kalshi | 1H Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | Moo11 Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | suntori Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | independent.horse2155 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | spain86 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | huyizhi0827 Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | stefan168 Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | Cannae Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | gestock Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | Soupy-Perfume Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | SnakeBall Polymarket | exact score 1 - 4 | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Serega38 Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Josegac7 Kalshi | 1H Over 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | sbsigner Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Oluwasol Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Pro100Best Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | YouBet Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | eku70774 Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | 0x7d0e…4f01 Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | SnakeBall Polymarket | Aston Villa FC -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | stefan168 Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | ZetaKappaEpsilon Polymarket | Manchester City FC to win | Pending |