Kalshi · 棒球
fatigue1is1real，Kalshi 上的 MLB 高手：18 单、命中率 66.7%、盈利 $1K。真实链上持仓，每日更新。
下方列出的最近 35 条预测（ 至 ）中已结算 35 条：命中 22、未中 13，这批记录的命中率为 62.9%。
| 所属联赛 | 记录数 | 已结算 | 命中 | 命中率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 21 | 21 | 14 | 66.7% |
| WNBA | 12 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| FIFA World Cup | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
fatigue1is1real 主要预测MLB：最近 35 条记录中有 21 条。平台：Kalshi。
按我们收集到的已结算订单：18 单、命中率 66.7%、盈亏 $1K、回报率 31.8%。在MLB，最近 21 条已结算预测中命中 14 条。
命中率 = 命中的已结算预测 ÷ 已结算预测，未结算的不计。盈亏与回报率按每笔公开持仓的成本与结算结果计算。过往战绩不代表未来结果。
数据来源：Kalshi 公开持仓。数据截至 2026-08-13 08:45 UTC+8。计算方法：计算方法说明
| 日期 | 比赛 | 预测 | 结果 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) 91:71 芝加哥天空 (Chicago Sky) WNBA | GS +9.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-12 | New York Yankees 10:5 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-12 | 洛杉矶火花 (Los Angeles Sparks) 87:94 凤凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) WNBA | Phoenix vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | 未中 |
| 2026-08-12 | San Diego Padres 11:2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Diego Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-11 | 印第安纳狂热 (Indiana Fever) 106:92 纽约自由人 (New York Liberty) WNBA | New York vs Indiana women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | 命中 |
| 2026-08-11 | 西雅图风暴 (Seattle Storm) 97:88 芝加哥天空 (Chicago Sky) WNBA | CHI -1.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-11 | 亚特兰大美梦 (Atlanta Dream) 107:95 多伦多节奏 (Toronto Tempo) WNBA | ATL +16.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-10 | Toronto Blue Jays 2:1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | HOU +1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-10 | 洛杉矶火花 (Los Angeles Sparks) 78:84 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) WNBA | GS +7.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-09 | 洛杉矶火花 (Los Angeles Sparks) 78:84 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) WNBA | GS -1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-09 | New York Yankees 1:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-08 | 波特兰火焰 (Portland Fire) 100:93 西雅图风暴 (Seattle Storm) WNBA | Seattle vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game: Portland wins | 命中 |
| 2026-08-08 | Washington Nationals 8:2 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Washington Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 7.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-08 | Kansas City Royals 4:6 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Kansas City Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 13:1 Athletics MLB | BOS -1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-07 | Arizona Cardinals 30:33 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina 获胜 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-07 | 印第安纳狂热 (Indiana Fever) 84:86 拉斯维加斯王牌 (Las Vegas Aces) WNBA | LV -1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-06 | 印第安纳狂热 (Indiana Fever) 84:86 拉斯维加斯王牌 (Las Vegas Aces) WNBA | IND -1.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3:2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Chicago C Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-05 | Boston Red Sox 4:0 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-04 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:0 Washington Nationals MLB | PHI -1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-04 | Chicago Cubs 10:5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 8.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-02 | 波特兰火焰 (Portland Fire) 101:106 洛杉矶火花 (Los Angeles Sparks) WNBA | Los Angeles vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | 命中 |
| 2026-08-02 | 明尼苏达山猫 (Minnesota Lynx) 108:100 印第安纳狂热 (Indiana Fever) WNBA | Indiana vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | 未中 |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-26 | Baltimore Orioles 3:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-25 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Philadelphia Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-25 | Washington Nationals 5:3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Washington Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-25 | Detroit Tigers 2:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-25 | Detroit Tigers 2:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 英格兰足球代表队 (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | 未中 |