Kalshi · 棒球
defiant.leopard3967，Kalshi 上的 WNBA 高手：17 单、命中率 64.7%、盈利 $2K。真实链上持仓，每日更新。
下方列出的最近 60 条预测（ 至 ）中已结算 60 条：命中 28、未中 32，这批记录的命中率为 46.7%。
| 所属联赛 | 记录数 | 已结算 | 命中 | 命中率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 25 | 25 | 11 | 44.0% |
| MLB | 17 | 17 | 11 | 64.7% |
| FIFA World Cup | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| NCAAF | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| NBA Summer League | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
defiant.leopard3967 主要预测WNBA：最近 60 条记录中有 25 条。平台：Kalshi。
按我们收集到的已结算订单：17 单、命中率 64.7%、盈亏 $2K、回报率 94.2%。在WNBA，最近 25 条已结算预测中命中 11 条。
命中率 = 命中的已结算预测 ÷ 已结算预测，未结算的不计。盈亏与回报率按每笔公开持仓的成本与结算结果计算。过往战绩不代表未来结果。
数据来源：Kalshi 公开持仓。数据截至 2026-09-26 02:50 UTC+8。计算方法：计算方法说明
| 日期 | 比赛 | 预测 | 结果 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Brown Bears 10:14 Harvard Crimson NCAAF | HARV -13.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-19 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons 20:33 Miami (FL) NCAAF | MIA -33.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. 获胜 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-12 | Florida Gators 52:3 Campbell Fighting Camels NCAAF | FLA -45.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-12 | Oklahoma State Cowboys 39:31 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | Oklahoma St. wins | 命中 |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17:10 Oklahoma NCAAF | MICH -3.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-30 | 波特兰火焰 (Portland Fire) 69:86 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) WNBA | Under 155.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-29 | Washington Nationals 5:4 Miami Marlins MLB | Washington wins | 命中 |
| 2026-08-28 | 印第安纳狂热 (Indiana Fever) 111:91 康乃狄克太阳 (Connecticut Sun) WNBA | Caitlin Clark: 25+ points | 命中 |
| 2026-08-25 | Miami Marlins 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 4.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-23 | 凤凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) 89:99 亚特兰大美梦 (Atlanta Dream) WNBA | Under 172.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-23 | 洛杉矶火花 (Los Angeles Sparks) 77:68 康乃狄克太阳 (Connecticut Sun) WNBA | Under 167.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-22 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Milwaukee wins | 命中 |
| 2026-08-22 | Kansas City Royals 5:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 7.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-21 | 芝加哥天空 (Chicago Sky) 73:70 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) WNBA | Under 160.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-01 | Chicago Cubs 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-01 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Tampa Bay Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-01 | 凤凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) 92:94 纽约自由人 (New York Liberty) WNBA | Under 168.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-01 | 芝加哥天空 (Chicago Sky) 84:83 拉斯维加斯王牌 (Las Vegas Aces) WNBA | Under 169.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-01 | 芝加哥天空 (Chicago Sky) 84:83 拉斯维加斯王牌 (Las Vegas Aces) WNBA | Chelsea Gray: 4+ rebounds | 未中 |
| 2026-08-01 | 华盛顿神秘 (Washington Mystics) 81:75 达拉斯羽翼 (Dallas Wings) WNBA | Dallas vs Washington women's Pro Basketball game: Washington wins | 命中 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cincinnati Reds 8:7 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-31 | Chicago Cubs 0:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-30 | 凤凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) 91:89 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) WNBA | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | 未中 |
| 2026-07-30 | 达拉斯羽翼 (Dallas Wings) 81:82 亚特兰大美梦 (Atlanta Dream) WNBA | Atlanta vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game: Atlanta wins | 命中 |
| 2026-07-19 | 亚特兰大美梦 (Atlanta Dream) 93:91 芝加哥天空 (Chicago Sky) WNBA | Under 177.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-07-18 | Houston Astros 2:3 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Houston Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-18 | 凤凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) 83:96 康乃狄克太阳 (Connecticut Sun) WNBA | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-18 | 凤凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) 83:96 康乃狄克太阳 (Connecticut Sun) WNBA | PHX -4.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-07-18 | 印第安纳狂热 (Indiana Fever) 110:107 西雅图风暴 (Seattle Storm) WNBA | Seattle vs Indiana winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-18 | 印第安纳狂热 (Indiana Fever) 110:107 西雅图风暴 (Seattle Storm) WNBA | IND +7.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-07-18 | Toronto Blue Jays 4:12 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Toronto Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-15 | Chicago 99:87 Washington NBA Summer League | WAS -4.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-07-15 | Golden 85:106 Memphis NBA Summer League | MEM -6.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-07-11 | 挪威国家足球队 (Norway) 1:1 英格兰足球代表队 (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | 未中 |
| 2026-07-07 | 瑞士国家足球队 (Switzerland) 0:0 哥伦比亚国家足球队 (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | 未中 |
| 2026-07-07 | 阿根廷国家足球队 (Argentina) 3:2 埃及国家足球队 (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | 命中 |
| 2026-07-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:7 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Arizona Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-04 | 拉斯维加斯王牌 (Las Vegas Aces) 98:90 芝加哥天空 (Chicago Sky) WNBA | Chicago vs Las Vegas winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-04 | 拉斯维加斯王牌 (Las Vegas Aces) 98:90 芝加哥天空 (Chicago Sky) WNBA | LV -9.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-07-04 | 纽约自由人 (New York Liberty) 99:86 明尼苏达山猫 (Minnesota Lynx) WNBA | Under 193.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-07-03 | 纽约自由人 (New York Liberty) 99:86 明尼苏达山猫 (Minnesota Lynx) WNBA | Over 178.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-07-03 | 澳大利亚男子国家足球队 (Australia) 1:1 埃及国家足球队 (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | 未中 |
| 2026-07-03 | 澳大利亚男子国家足球队 (Australia) 1:1 埃及国家足球队 (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | EGY -1.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-06-26 | 西雅图风暴 (Seattle Storm) 99:88 纽约自由人 (New York Liberty) WNBA | Under 162.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-06-26 | New York Mets 3:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs New York M Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-22 | 新西兰国家足球队 (New Zealand) 1:3 埃及国家足球队 (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-22 | 洛杉矶火花 (Los Angeles Sparks) 98:97 纽约自由人 (New York Liberty) WNBA | Under 163.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-06-21 | 明尼苏达山猫 (Minnesota Lynx) 79:84 华盛顿神秘 (Washington Mystics) WNBA | Over 175.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-06-21 | Athletics 7:9 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs A's Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-21 | 拉斯维加斯王牌 (Las Vegas Aces) 92:73 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) WNBA | Under 158.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-06-20 | 厄瓜多尔国家足球队 (Ecuador) 0:0 库拉索国家足球队 (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-06-20 | 凤凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) 93:73 西雅图风暴 (Seattle Storm) WNBA | Under 165.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-06-19 | 墨西哥国家足球队 (Mexico) 1:0 韩国国家足球队 (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-06-18 | New York Yankees 1:5 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs New York Y Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-17 | Cincinnati 1:9 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Cincinnati Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-06-17 | Athletics 5:6 匹兹堡河犬 (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs A's Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-17 | Houston 4:2 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs Houston Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | 未中 |