Kalshi · 棒球
Esperancia，Kalshi 上的 MLB 高手：42 单、命中率 69.0%、盈利 $19K。真实链上持仓，每日更新。
下方列出的最近 60 条预测（ 至 ）中已结算 60 条：命中 38、未中 22，这批记录的命中率为 63.3%。
| 所属联赛 | 记录数 | 已结算 | 命中 | 命中率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 37 | 37 | 25 | 67.6% |
| NCAAF | 8 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Bundesliga | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
Esperancia 主要预测MLB：最近 60 条记录中有 37 条。平台：Kalshi。
按我们收集到的已结算订单：42 单、命中率 69.0%、盈亏 $19K、回报率 35.2%。在MLB，最近 37 条已结算预测中命中 25 条。
命中率 = 命中的已结算预测 ÷ 已结算预测，未结算的不计。盈亏与回报率按每笔公开持仓的成本与结算结果计算。过往战绩不代表未来结果。
数据来源：Kalshi 公开持仓。数据截至 2026-10-18 11:04 UTC+8。计算方法：计算方法说明
WLWWW
| 日期 | 比赛 | 预测 | 结果 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Syracuse Orange 26:34 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Syracuse wins | 未中 |
| 2026-10-18 | Miami (FL) 43:35 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | Florida St. wins | 未中 |
| 2026-10-18 | Vanderbilt Commodores 21:31 Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAF | Arkansas wins | 命中 |
| 2026-10-17 | 柏林联足球俱乐部 (Union Berlin) 0:0 多特蒙德足球俱乐部 (Dortmund) Bundesliga | Over 0.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-10-17 | 皇家西班牙人体育俱乐部 (Espanyol) 0:1 Atletico La Liga | Over 0.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-10-17 | 蒂华纳足球会 (Club Tijuana) 0:0 普埃布拉足球会 (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Over 0.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-10-17 | Penn 27:28 Columbia Lions NCAAF | Columbia wins | 命中 |
| 2026-10-16 | Tulane Green Wave 31:17 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | Tulane wins | 命中 |
| 2026-10-16 | 昆卡竞技俱乐部 (CD Cuenca) 2:1 Tecnico Uni Ecuador LigaPro | Over 2.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:7 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Tampa Bay wins | 未中 |
| 2026-10-06 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | New Orleans wins | 未中 |
| 2026-10-05 | Cleveland Guardians 3:4 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | 命中 |
| 2026-10-05 | 尼加拉瓜国家足球队 (Nicaragua) 1:2 团队 (Dominican Republic) CONCACAF Nations League | Nicaragua wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 10.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | Over 3.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Over 9.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Team Over 1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-27 | San Diego Padres 9:4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-27 | Philadelphia Phillies 7:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Over 9.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Nationals 6:4 New York Mets MLB | Over 9.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-27 | San Diego Padres 9:4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 10.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-27 | San Diego 10:7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 12.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-27 | San Diego 10:7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 9.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-26 | Chicago WS 6:9 Colorado MLB | Over 10.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-26 | 格鲁吉亚国家足球队 (Georgia) 41:13 Oklahoma NCAAF | Over 45.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-26 | Boston College Eagles 14:21 Virginia Tech Hokies NCAAF | Under 33.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-26 | Louisville Cardinals 27:30 Wake Forest Demon Deacons NCAAF | Over 50.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-26 | Seattle 5:7 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Over 7.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-26 | San Diego 4:11 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 9.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-26 | Kansas City 9:12 Cleveland MLB | Over 9.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-26 | Minnesota 10:2 Texas MLB | Over 9.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | ATL -10.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-24 | Atlanta 6:7 Cincinnati MLB | Over 11.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-14 | San Francisco Giants 4:6 San Diego Padres MLB | Over 11.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-28 | Toronto Blue Jays 2:13 Kansas City Royals MLB | KC -10.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-24 | Detroit Tigers 1:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | 命中 |
| 2026-08-23 | Seattle Mariners 2:19 Chicago Cubs MLB | CHC -13.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-23 | Seattle Mariners 2:19 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 9.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-21 | Houston Astros 3:18 Los Angeles Angels MLB | LAA -14.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-19 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Over 7.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | CHC -3.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-13 | Minnesota Twins 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | PHI -1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-13 | 达拉斯羽翼 (Dallas Wings) 94:88 多伦多节奏 (Toronto Tempo) WNBA | Toronto vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game: Toronto wins | 未中 |
| 2026-08-13 | Toronto Blue Jays 6:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-11 | Arizona Diamondbacks 9:0 Colorado Rockies MLB | AZ -8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-11 | 派桑杜体育俱乐部 (Paysandu) 2:1 康菲安卡足球会 (Confianca) Brasileiro Serie C | Paysandu vs Confianca Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-10 | Atlanta Braves 5:8 New York Mets MLB | NYM -1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-10 | Libertad Loja 2:1 Uni Catolica Ecuador LigaPro | Libertad Loja vs Uni Catolica Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-10 | Socuellamos 0:3 Villarrobledo Club Friendlies | Socuellamos vs Villarrobledo Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-10 | Jujuy 0:2 Tristan Suarez Argentine Nacional B | Jujuy vs Tristan Suarez Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-10 | Volos 0:2 卡拉马塔足球会 (Kalamata) Club Friendlies | Volos vs Kalamata Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-10 | Vasteraas SK 1:0 Djurgarden Allsvenskan | Vasteraas vs Djurgarden Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-09 | Chicago WS 5:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Over 9.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-09 | Boston Red Sox 3:4 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 7:6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | PHI -2.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington Nationals 7:1 Cincinnati Reds MLB | WSH -1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Over 5.5 | 未中 |