Kalshi · 棒球
mess.dawn，Kalshi 上的 MLB 高手：52 单、命中率 61.5%、盈利 $23K。真实链上持仓，每日更新。
下方列出的最近 60 条预测（ 至 ）中已结算 60 条：命中 38、未中 22，这批记录的命中率为 63.3%。
| 所属联赛 | 记录数 | 已结算 | 命中 | 命中率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 44 | 44 | 27 | 61.4% |
| NFL | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| NCAAF | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
mess.dawn 主要预测MLB：最近 60 条记录中有 44 条。平台：Kalshi。
按我们收集到的已结算订单：52 单、命中率 61.5%、盈亏 $23K、回报率 32.3%。在MLB，最近 44 条已结算预测中命中 27 条。
命中率 = 命中的已结算预测 ÷ 已结算预测，未结算的不计。盈亏与回报率按每笔公开持仓的成本与结算结果计算。过往战绩不代表未来结果。
数据来源：Kalshi 公开持仓。数据截至 2026-10-01 10:19 UTC+8。计算方法：计算方法说明
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| 日期 | 比赛 | 预测 | 结果 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | San Diego Padres 4:1 Chicago Cubs MLB | San Diego wins | 命中 |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 6.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | 命中 |
| 2026-09-30 | Houston Astros 3:7 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | 命中 |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 7.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-29 | New York Yankees 9:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | NYY -1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Under 10.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Under 9.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Under 8.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-29 | Atlanta Braves 5:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 7.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-29 | Atlanta Braves 5:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 6.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston Red Sox 4:3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 6.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-24 | Chicago Cubs 2:1 Miami MLB | Over 5.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-24 | 匹兹堡河犬 (Pittsburgh) 2:1 St. Louis MLB | Under 6.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:5 San Diego MLB | Under 4.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2:4 Minnesota MLB | Under 6.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4:2 Toronto MLB | Baltimore wins | 命中 |
| 2026-09-23 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:0 San Diego MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-22 | Kansas City 11:14 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS wins | 命中 |
| 2026-09-22 | New York Yankees 2:0 Tampa Bay MLB | Under 6.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-19 | 匹兹堡河犬 (Pittsburgh) 6:5 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-19 | Indiana Hoosiers 38:0 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAAF | IND -44.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-19 | Oregon Ducks 84:0 Portland State Vikings NCAAF | ORE -75.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-19 | Oregon Ducks 84:0 Portland State Vikings NCAAF | ORE -72.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | BUF +10.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | BUF +14.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-16 | Minnesota Twins 5:4 New York Yankees MLB | NYY -1.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates 1:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | MIL -1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates 1:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | MIL -2.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Under 51.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Denver wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-12 | Chicago Cubs 4:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | CHC -1.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-12 | Boston College Eagles 28:21 Rutgers Scarlet Knights NCAAF | Under 50.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-11 | Chicago Cubs 12:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | CHC -2.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-05 | Cincinnati 34:15 Boston College Eagles NCAAF | Under 49.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-04 | Cleveland Guardians 7:6 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 8.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-28 | San Francisco Giants 6:1 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | 未中 |
| 2026-08-26 | Miami Marlins 4:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | 未中 |
| 2026-08-26 | Detroit Tigers 0:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | 命中 |
| 2026-08-25 | Seattle Mariners 9:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | 未中 |
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle vs Tennessee Pro Football game: SEA Seahawks wins | 未中 |
| 2026-08-23 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | TEN -4.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-23 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta wins | 命中 |
| 2026-08-23 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:3 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Arizona wins | 命中 |
| 2026-08-23 | San Diego Padres 8:1 Minnesota Twins MLB | San Diego wins | 命中 |
| 2026-08-23 | Arizona Cardinals 13:34 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Under 52.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-23 | San Diego Padres 7:5 Minnesota Twins MLB | San Diego wins | 命中 |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles R 34:0 新奥尔良鹈鹕 (New Orleans) NFL | Under 36.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-22 | Miami Dolphins 3:26 New York Giants NFL | Under 36.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-22 | 丹佛金块 (Denver) 13:33 Green Bay NFL | Under 40.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-21 | Pittsburgh Steelers 0:17 New York Jets NFL | Under 38.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-21 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 4.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 7.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 5.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Chicago C Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | CHC -1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-12 | Minnesota Twins 7:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 9.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-11 | New York Yankees 4:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 7.5 | 未中 |