Kalshi · Basketball
excess.duck3832 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 15 picks, 66.7% win rate, $200 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 45 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 45 have settled: 25 won, 20 lost, 55.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 19 | 19 | 9 | 47.4% |
| NBA Summer League | 15 | 15 | 10 | 66.7% |
| FIFA World Cup | 8 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| NCAAF | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| USL Championship | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
excess.duck3832 mainly predicts MLB: 19 of the last 45 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 15 orders, P&L $200, ROI 42.3%. In MLB, 9 of 19 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-16 22:42 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Cleveland Guardians Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Cleveland Guardians 2:0 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 San Diego Padres MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44:45 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | Tulsa wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington 24:27 Minnesota NCAAF | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Colorado 2:9 San Diego MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Athletics 6:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:0 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Boston Red Sox 9:8 Seattle Mariners MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Chicago Cubs 5:7 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Washington Nationals 2:6 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Athletics 3:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | A's wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Washington Nationals 5:4 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Atlanta Braves 2:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Toronto Blue Jays 4:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Toronto wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | San Francisco Giants 6:1 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | St. Louis Cardinals 7:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 88:92 Golden NBA Summer League | Los Angeles L to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Utah 83:79 Portland Fire (Portland) NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | New 88:110 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | New York to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Charlotte 90:92 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Golden 85:106 Memphis NBA Summer League | Memphis to win | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Portland Fire (Portland) 111:84 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Portland to win | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Milwaukee 88:95 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Milwaukee to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Utah 80:63 Chicago NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Memphis 88:96 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | Dallas to win | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | New 86:75 Detroit NBA Summer League | New York to win | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Utah 82:104 Los Angeles Clippers NBA Summer League | Los Angeles C to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Portland Fire (Portland) 105:112 Orlando NBA Summer League | Portland to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 85:91 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Washington 92:88 Utah NBA Summer League | Washington to win | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Philadelphia 101:93 Detroit NBA Summer League | Detroit to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Sacramento Republic FC 2:1 Rhode Island FC USL Championship | Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |