Kalshi · Football
smooth.truth is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 60 picks, 60.0% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 28 won, 31 lost, 47.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 37 | 37 | 18 | 48.6% |
| NCAAF | 16 | 16 | 10 | 62.5% |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| MLB | 3 | 2 | 0 | — |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
smooth.truth mainly predicts NFL: 37 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.0% hit rate over 60 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 13.6%. In NFL, 18 of 37 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-27 12:07 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Denver Nuggets 114:134 Golden State Warriors NBA | Christian Braun: 2+ threes | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | KC +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Charlotte Hornets 81:128 Atlanta Hawks NBA | Grayson Allen: 4+ threes | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | Colston Loveland: 5+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | Efton Chism III: 3+ receptions | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | San Antonio Spurs 104:116 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | OKC -19.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Christian Watson: 80+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | KaVontae Turpin: 1+ receptions | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Las Vegas Raiders 30:33 Buffalo Bills NFL | Brock Bowers: 6+ receptions | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Los Angeles Rams 16:18 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Matthew Stafford: 200+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | New York Giants 27:34 New Orleans Saints NFL | Devaughn Vele: 4+ receptions | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | New England Patriots 26:19 New York Jets NFL | Isaiah Davis: 20+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | New York Giants 27:34 New Orleans Saints NFL | Alvin Kamara: 50+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | UCLA Bruins 17:7 Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF | Wisconsin wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Air Force Falcons 41:31 UNLV Rebels NCAAF | Team Over 23.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Kansas State Wildcats 35:24 Kansas Jayhawks NCAAF | KSU -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | OSU +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Air Force Falcons 41:31 UNLV Rebels NCAAF | UNLV -17.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 33:30 Delaware Blue Hens NCAAF | DEL +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Matt Hibner: 1+ receptions | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Mike Evans: 9+ receptions | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | ATL +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Brock Purdy: 10+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | BUF +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | ATL +14.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | NE +20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Eli Raridon: 2+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers 34:22 Indianapolis Colts NFL | Aaron Rodgers: 250+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Georgia Southern Eagles 24:27 James Madison Dukes NCAAF | Over 46.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | CeeDee Lamb: 6+ receptions | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Pittsburgh Steelers 34:22 Indianapolis Colts NFL | PIT +17.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | New York Giants 36:24 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Malachi Fields: 2+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | WAS Commanders 13:30 IND Colts NFL | IND +20.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Aaron Rodgers: 200+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | PHI -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | D'Andre Swift: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Saquon Barkley: 3+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Under 36.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27:35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Ashton Jeanty: 60+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Miami Dolphins 10:24 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Tyquan Thornton: 4+ receptions | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Miami (FL) 52:3 Central Michigan Chippewas NCAAF | MIA -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | New York Yankees Baltimore Orioles MLB | Over 7.5 | Pending |
| 2026-09-26 | Miami (OH) RedHawks 24:21 UConn Huskies NCAAF | Under 52.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Miami (OH) RedHawks 24:21 UConn Huskies NCAAF | MOH +20.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Akron Zips 10:38 UNLV Rebels NCAAF | Team Under 17.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Pittsburgh Steelers 30:27 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | Erick All Jr.: 1+ receptions | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Miami 3:8 Atlanta MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Chicago WS 6:9 Colorado MLB | COL -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Jordan Love: 200+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Kennesaw State Owls 17:31 Georgia State Panthers NCAAF | Georgia St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | South Dakota St. 57:14 New Haven Chargers NCAAF | Under 52.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Northern Iowa Panthers 56:14 Drake Bulldogs NCAAF | Over 59.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 56:7 Bowling Green Falcons NCAAF | NEB +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Temple Owls 38:14 Rhode Island Rams NCAAF | Temple wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Dallas Wings 92:70 Seattle Storm WNBA | Arike Ogunbowale: 15+ points | Lost |